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What to Know About the Matcha Shortage: Why It’s Happening and What to Expect

Rising demand, labor-intensive production and pressure on Japan’s 2025 harvest have tightened matcha supply. Here’s what the production and price figures do—and don’t—show.
From TheFinanceBase Team4 min to read
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Matcha is harder to find and, in some cases, more expensive because global demand has risen faster than producers can expand supply. Japan’s labor-intensive production, pressure on the 2025 harvest from poor weather, and growers’ gradual shift toward matcha-grade tencha all contribute. The evidence shows a supply squeeze, but it does not establish that every matcha product is unavailable or provide a definitive timeline for prices to ease.

Is there really a matcha shortage?

Yes, there have been reported shortages and supply constraints, particularly affecting Japanese matcha. On August 1, 2025, Japanese tea company Ippodo said increased interest—especially from outside Japan—had resulted in “an ongoing shortage of matcha throughout the entire Japanese tea industry.” That is the company’s description of conditions at that time, not a measure of every seller’s current inventory.

Availability varies by supplier, grade, origin, and date. A shortage does not mean every matcha product is sold out everywhere; it means supply has been under pressure and some buyers may face limited selection, higher costs, or both.

Why is matcha suddenly hard to find?

Demand rose faster than production could respond

Matcha’s popularity has grown internationally, while increasing output takes time. Matcha is made by grinding tencha, a tea grown under shade and processed before milling. Expanding matcha supply therefore depends on growers producing more suitable tencha, as well as the people and capacity to process it.

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Producing matcha-grade tea takes labor and care

The Associated Press reported in 2025 that matcha preparation is precise and labor-intensive. Those demands make supply slower to scale than demand can rise. A larger crop in one year does not by itself show that production has caught up with consumption.

Weather added pressure to Japan’s 2025 crop

Poor weather reduced the 2025 Japanese harvest, according to AP reporting. That was one factor in the squeeze, not a complete explanation: rising demand and the time required to expand production also matter.

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Growers are shifting toward tencha

Some growers have been moving toward tencha production to serve matcha demand. This shift can affect other Japanese teas too. Ippodo said that supplies of other types of Japanese tea had also fallen as growers switched toward matcha production; that is the company’s account, not a quantified industry-wide measure.

What do production figures tell us?

Japan’s tencha production has increased, but those figures describe past output—not whether current supply meets demand.

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Year Tencha production What the figure measures
2023 4,176 tonnes Japanese government data, as reported by the Associated Press in 2025.
2024 5,336 tonnes Japanese Tea Production Association data, as reported by Reuters in 2025. Reuters said this was nearly 2.7 times the level ten years earlier.

Tencha is the material used to make matcha, but production totals alone do not account for demand, inventories, grades, or how much tea is available to particular buyers. The figures therefore do not prove that the shortage is over.

Are matcha prices going up?

Reported buyer costs rose for the 2025 Japanese crop, but the available figures are not a current retail-price index. In a 2025 AP report, Aaron Vick, a senior tea buyer at G.S. Haly, said his cost for the highest-grade crop was 75% higher; he expected lower grades to cost 30% to 50% more. These are one buyer’s costs and expectations for that crop, not a universal increase in shop prices.

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Organic Matcha Green Tea Powder, 2 lb | First Harvest Culinary Grade | Single-Ingredient Green Tea Powder | Certified Organic | Gluten, Dairy, Soy & Tree Nut Free
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  • This first harvest, culinary grade matcha is unblended and made from shade-grown tea leaves that are finely ground into a powder, offering a smooth, clean flavor profile suitable for everyday use without added flavors or fillers.
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  • Our matcha is non-GMO and Certified Organic by Organic Certifiers. Free from soy, dairy, gluten, and tree nuts, with no added sugar or artificial ingredients. Third-party lab tested for safety, purity, and potency.

Retail prices can differ by origin, grade, harvest, supplier, and date. National export figures should not be mistaken for matcha prices: Japan’s Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries reported ¥1.7005 trillion in agricultural and food exports in 2025, up 12.8% year over year, but that is an all-category total. The ministry also reported 2,999 tonnes of organic-equivalent Japanese tea exports in 2024, up 89.2%; this covers organic-equivalent tea exports, not matcha alone.

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What should you check when buying matcha?

If you are shopping for matcha powder, compare products based on what you plan to make and what the seller actually states. Labels such as “ceremonial” and “culinary” are not standardized across sellers, so the label alone does not guarantee a consistent grade or use.

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  • Intended use: Check whether the seller describes the powder for traditional preparation, lattes, or cooking.
  • Origin: Look for a specific stated origin rather than assuming all matcha is Japanese. Powder from elsewhere should not be treated as identical to Japanese matcha.
  • Grade and harvest description: Compare the seller’s details, not just a grade label whose meaning may vary.
  • Freshness and packaging: Review harvest or packing information when provided, plus the package format and storage guidance.
  • Current availability and price: Confirm the seller’s stock and price when you buy; neither is established by historical production or buyer-cost figures.

A bamboo matcha whisk can help with home preparation, but it does not affect availability or resolve the supply shortage.

When will matcha supply improve?

No definitive normalization date can be established from the reported figures. Historical growth in tencha production shows that output has expanded, while reports of strong demand and weather pressure show why supply can remain tight. A final 2026 harvest total and a representative current retail-price baseline are not established here, so claims that prices will fall by a particular date—or that shortages will persist for a set period—would go beyond the available evidence.

Product prices and availability are accurate as of the date/time indicated and are subject to change. Any price and availability information displayed on Amazon at the time of purchase will apply.

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