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‘Wicked: For Good’ Was Projected to Open Above $200 Million Worldwide

The $200 million-plus forecast for Wicked: For Good referred to its worldwide opening. Domestic ranges varied, while Universal’s Sunday estimate put the global opening at $226 million.
From TheFinanceBase Team3 min to read

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The $200 million-plus opening-weekend projection for Wicked: For Good referred to its worldwide box office—not North America alone. A November 19, 2025 report by Hypebeast, citing Deadline, put the forecast at more than $125 million to $150 million in the United States and Canada, plus more than $70 million internationally. The eventual opening was reported at a higher global figure, but the forecasts and results need to be compared by geography and reporting stage.

What the $200 million projection meant

The headline figure was a pre-release worldwide forecast. Hypebeast’s November 19, 2025 report, citing Deadline, described a North American range of more than $125 million to $150 million and an international contribution above $70 million, together supporting an opening above $200 million globally. Read Hypebeast’s report.

That is different from saying the film was expected to earn $200 million in the United States and Canada. Other pre-release coverage focused on North America and gave its own ranges.

How domestic forecasts compared

Source and status Geography Forecast
Variety, pre-release report, November 20, 2025 North America $150 million to $180 million; Variety also said Universal’s estimate was $125 million or more.
Boxoffice Pro, official forecast range, November 19, 2025 Domestic $145 million to $175 million.
Boxoffice Pro, possible over-performance case, November 19, 2025 Domestic $180 million to $210 million, presented as upside potentially supported by strong pre-sales—not its official range.
Hypebeast, citing Deadline, November 19, 2025 Worldwide More than $200 million, including the North American and international components described above.

Variety compared its projected North American launch with the original Wicked’s $112.5 million domestic opening. Those figures are forecasts, not a single agreed-upon prediction: outlets used different ranges, and Boxoffice Pro kept its upside case separate from its official range. Variety’s forecast report and Boxoffice Pro’s forecast provide the respective details.

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#1 Best Overall

What the film actually opened to

The Associated Press reported Universal’s Sunday studio estimate as $150 million in North America and $226 million worldwide. The AP described the worldwide result as the biggest opening for a Broadway musical adaptation and, at that point, the year’s second-biggest debut. This was an early studio estimate, not the same reporting stage as a later database listing. Read the AP’s report.

The Numbers later lists the domestic opening weekend at $147,004,640 across 4,115 opening theaters, with a domestic release date of November 21, 2025. That is the database’s listed domestic total, not the AP’s Sunday studio estimate of $150 million. See The Numbers’ listing.

For an apples-to-apples reading, compare the worldwide forecast above $200 million with the AP’s $226 million worldwide Sunday estimate. For North America, compare the outlet-specific domestic forecasts with the AP’s $150 million North American Sunday estimate, while keeping The Numbers’ later domestic listing distinct. A forecast is not a final gross, and an early studio estimate is not interchangeable with a later database total.

Why the opening drew attention

Wicked: For Good is the conclusion to the story of the witches of Oz, directed by Jon M. Chu and starring returning leads Cynthia Erivo and Ariana Grande. Universal’s home-entertainment announcement describes Elphaba and Glinda as estranged and facing the consequences of their choices, with their paths brought together again when a girl from Kansas enters their lives. Universal’s film and home-entertainment announcement.

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Rank #3

The opening’s significance is best stated in the terms reported at the time: the AP characterized its $226 million worldwide Sunday estimate as a record opening for a Broadway musical adaptation. That benchmark is about the reported worldwide opening, not the film’s lifetime box office.

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Where to watch at home

Universal announced digital purchase and rental availability starting December 30, 2025, followed by 4K UHD, Blu-ray, and DVD editions starting January 20, 2026. The announced home edition includes two versions of the film, an exclusive sing-along, and more than an hour of bonus features, including deleted scenes and a making-of feature. The official film site also promotes digital, 4K UHD, and Blu-ray editions. Availability, retailer inventory, and prices can vary; these announcements establish the formats and announced content, not current stock or pricing.

Check Universal’s home-edition details for the announced formats and extras.

Quick Recap

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Product prices and availability are accurate as of the date/time indicated and are subject to change. Any price and availability information displayed on Amazon at the time of purchase will apply.

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