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The $200 million-plus opening-weekend projection for Wicked: For Good referred to its worldwide box office—not North America alone. A November 19, 2025 report by Hypebeast, citing Deadline, put the forecast at more than $125 million to $150 million in the United States and Canada, plus more than $70 million internationally. The eventual opening was reported at a higher global figure, but the forecasts and results need to be compared by geography and reporting stage.
What the $200 million projection meant
The headline figure was a pre-release worldwide forecast. Hypebeast’s November 19, 2025 report, citing Deadline, described a North American range of more than $125 million to $150 million and an international contribution above $70 million, together supporting an opening above $200 million globally. Read Hypebeast’s report.
| # | Preview | Product | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Wicked: For Good - Blu-ray + Digital | $12.99 | Buy on Amazon |
| 2 |
|
Wicked: For Good (4K Ultra HD + Blu-ray + Digital) | $27.49 | Buy on Amazon |
| 3 |
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Wicked 2-Film Collection - Blu-ray + Digital | $36.99 | Buy on Amazon |
| 4 |
|
Wicked For Good [Blu-ray] | $39.99 | Buy on Amazon |
| 5 |
|
Wicked: For Good - Amazon Exclusive Giftset (4K Ultra HD + Blu-ray + Digital) | $197.50 | Buy on Amazon |
That is different from saying the film was expected to earn $200 million in the United States and Canada. Other pre-release coverage focused on North America and gave its own ranges.
How domestic forecasts compared
| Source and status | Geography | Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Variety, pre-release report, November 20, 2025 | North America | $150 million to $180 million; Variety also said Universal’s estimate was $125 million or more. |
| Boxoffice Pro, official forecast range, November 19, 2025 | Domestic | $145 million to $175 million. |
| Boxoffice Pro, possible over-performance case, November 19, 2025 | Domestic | $180 million to $210 million, presented as upside potentially supported by strong pre-sales—not its official range. |
| Hypebeast, citing Deadline, November 19, 2025 | Worldwide | More than $200 million, including the North American and international components described above. |
Variety compared its projected North American launch with the original Wicked’s $112.5 million domestic opening. Those figures are forecasts, not a single agreed-upon prediction: outlets used different ranges, and Boxoffice Pro kept its upside case separate from its official range. Variety’s forecast report and Boxoffice Pro’s forecast provide the respective details.
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What the film actually opened to
The Associated Press reported Universal’s Sunday studio estimate as $150 million in North America and $226 million worldwide. The AP described the worldwide result as the biggest opening for a Broadway musical adaptation and, at that point, the year’s second-biggest debut. This was an early studio estimate, not the same reporting stage as a later database listing. Read the AP’s report.
The Numbers later lists the domestic opening weekend at $147,004,640 across 4,115 opening theaters, with a domestic release date of November 21, 2025. That is the database’s listed domestic total, not the AP’s Sunday studio estimate of $150 million. See The Numbers’ listing.
Rank #2
- Runtime: 138 minutes
For an apples-to-apples reading, compare the worldwide forecast above $200 million with the AP’s $226 million worldwide Sunday estimate. For North America, compare the outlet-specific domestic forecasts with the AP’s $150 million North American Sunday estimate, while keeping The Numbers’ later domestic listing distinct. A forecast is not a final gross, and an early studio estimate is not interchangeable with a later database total.
Why the opening drew attention
Wicked: For Good is the conclusion to the story of the witches of Oz, directed by Jon M. Chu and starring returning leads Cynthia Erivo and Ariana Grande. Universal’s home-entertainment announcement describes Elphaba and Glinda as estranged and facing the consequences of their choices, with their paths brought together again when a girl from Kansas enters their lives. Universal’s film and home-entertainment announcement.
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Rank #3
The opening’s significance is best stated in the terms reported at the time: the AP characterized its $226 million worldwide Sunday estimate as a record opening for a Broadway musical adaptation. That benchmark is about the reported worldwide opening, not the film’s lifetime box office.
Independent reader supportYour contribution helps us test, update, and keep practical guides available for everyone.Where to watch at home
Universal announced digital purchase and rental availability starting December 30, 2025, followed by 4K UHD, Blu-ray, and DVD editions starting January 20, 2026. The announced home edition includes two versions of the film, an exclusive sing-along, and more than an hour of bonus features, including deleted scenes and a making-of feature. The official film site also promotes digital, 4K UHD, and Blu-ray editions. Availability, retailer inventory, and prices can vary; these announcements establish the formats and announced content, not current stock or pricing.
Rank #4
- Blu-ray
Check Universal’s home-edition details for the announced formats and extras.
Quick Recap
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- Limited Edition 4K Giftset
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- Bonus Content
Product prices and availability are accurate as of the date/time indicated and are subject to change. Any price and availability information displayed on Amazon at the time of purchase will apply.




