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Why Kenyans Feared Adani’s Proposed JKIA Deal Could Cost Them

The proposed Adani concession for JKIA was halted and later cancelled before a contract was signed. Here’s what opponents feared, what Treasury said was still under review, and what the record does—and does not—establish.
From TheFinanceBase Team4 min to read
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Kenya’s proposed Adani airport arrangement was halted before it became a signed concession: Parliament was told on 13 November 2024 that a court order had stopped implementation and that no concession agreement had been executed. Kenya Airports Authority later documented cancellation, effective 26 February 2025. The deal’s potential costs and effects on jobs were concerns raised by opponents, not losses established by a court or measured after implementation.

What was the Adani airport deal?

Adani Enterprises submitted a privately initiated proposal on 1 March 2024 to expand Jomo Kenyatta International Airport (JKIA), according to the Kenya Human Rights Commission (KHRC) and the National Treasury’s parliamentary account. KHRC and the Law Society of Kenya (LSK), in their court application, described a proposed 30-year concession and estimated the expansion requirement at USD 1.85 billion (KSh 238 billion). Those figures came from the applicants; they were not settled contract terms or a final government cost estimate.

A concession of that length could have given a private operator a significant role in a strategic public airport. But the proposal was still under review. On 24 September 2024, Treasury told a Senate committee that the PPP evaluation had identified 22 issues for further work. A financial model, detailed construction and operating cost estimates, and financing terms were still required, while the proposed equity return remained subject to negotiation. Treasury also said no project development agreement had been entered at that point.

Why did opponents say Kenyans could lose?

KHRC and LSK argued that the proposal raised public-interest and financial concerns. Their court application challenged the process on grounds including transparency, accountability, affordability, fiscal risk, job security, and value for money. They also sought access to records such as meeting minutes, feasibility material, procurement information, the proposal or contract, and the reasons for not using open competitive procurement.

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The financial concern was not simply that a private company might operate the airport. It was that the public could accept a long-term arrangement without enough information to judge what it would cost over time, which risks would remain with taxpayers, what return the investor would receive, or what value Kenya would retain. The applicants’ concerns are arguments about potential exposure; the available record does not establish that those costs or harms occurred.

What did the government say about the proposal’s finances?

Treasury’s account described an evaluation still requiring important financial and operational details, rather than a finalized deal with settled economics. The department told the Senate committee that Adani Airport Holdings had paid a USD 50,000 appraisal fee and that 22 issues needed addressing during project development. The fee and issue count describe the administrative process; neither establishes the eventual cost of expansion or the public value of the proposal.

This distinction matters when assessing claims that the arrangement would necessarily have been unaffordable or a loss to Kenya. The applicants alleged poor affordability and value for money, while Treasury said further analysis and negotiation remained. The documented material does not provide a completed cost comparison with a publicly financed plan or another proposal, so it cannot show which route would have been cheaper.

Why was the Adani airport deal cancelled in Kenya?

Parliament was told on 13 November 2024 that a conservatory order issued on 9 September had halted implementation, that no concession agreement had been signed, and that public-participation planning was on hold. The parliamentary response also described earlier stakeholder meetings with airport workers, aviation actors, business owners, and government agencies; it said a wider public-participation plan remained to be developed.

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In a letter dated 26 February 2025, reproduced in a later court record, KAA said the PPP Committee had approved cancellation after assessing the project. Acting Managing Director and CEO Nicholas Bodo wrote: “The decision follows an assessment of the project, during which it was determined that the project does not meet the public interest criteria due to material governance concerns that have arisen during the procurement process.” That is KAA’s stated basis for cancellation, not a court judgment on every allegation made by opponents.

Would Adani have run JKIA for 30 years?

KHRC and LSK’s 2024 court application described a proposed 30-year concession, but there was no signed concession agreement establishing that term. Parliament was explicitly told that no concession agreement had been executed before implementation was halted. It is therefore accurate to describe 30 years as the period alleged in the applicants’ account of the proposal, not as a confirmed operating term.

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What remains unresolved?

A 2026 case record documents competing submissions over whether cancellation made the litigation moot and whether the court should still determine the underlying public-law questions. The record of those arguments does not establish that a court found the proposal unlawful or decided all claims about affordability, jobs, or public loss on their merits.

Nor does the available record quantify how the proposed arrangement would have affected airport employees, taxpayers, or the public finances. The concerns remain relevant to scrutiny of future airport projects, but they should not be reported as proven outcomes of this cancelled proposal.

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How should Kenyans assess a future airport expansion proposal?

A sound comparison needs enough public information to test both the total cost and the risks over the full life of an arrangement. For any future proposal, readers can look for:

  • Disclosure and participation: Are the proposal, feasibility work, financial model, and public comments available before a decision?
  • Procurement and legal process: Is the procurement route clearly justified and consistent with the applicable PPP rules?
  • Lifecycle cost and financing: Are construction, operating, and financing costs disclosed alongside the proposed investor return?
  • Risk allocation: Who bears construction overruns, lower-than-expected demand, and other risks that could ultimately fall on the public?
  • Employment and operations: Are workers’ protections and safeguards for reliable airport operations explicit?
  • Public value retained: What does Kenya receive, and what control or revenue does it give up over the arrangement’s full term?

The record available for the Adani proposal does not provide enough verified figures to rank a future public-finance option against a private concession. The essential test is whether the terms and evidence are disclosed well enough for the public to make that comparison before a long-term commitment is made.

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