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On July 30, 2025, President Donald Trump announced that the United States and Pakistan would work together to develop Pakistan’s oil reserves. He said the lead oil company was still being chosen and speculated that Pakistan might someday sell oil to India. That was not an announcement of a new discovery or an India export deal: the project’s location, operator and reserve estimate were not specified. As of the official updates reviewed through July 2026, no lead company for the specific partnership or India sale agreement had been identified.
What Trump announced
Trump posted on July 30, 2025, that the two countries would cooperate on developing Pakistan’s oil reserves. The Associated Press reported the next day that a trade agreement was expected to allow Washington to help develop the reserves and lower tariffs for Pakistan. Trump also wrote that the lead oil company was being chosen. The Associated Press report reproduced his statements.
The wording describes an intention to cooperate, not a completed oil project. The announcement named no company, gave no project-specific reserve estimate and did not specify an exploration site. AP reported that reserves were believed to be concentrated mainly in Balochistan, but that was not an official project location. The region also faces separatist opposition to extraction and attacks, factors relevant to any project there.
Did Trump say Pakistan could sell oil to India?
Yes. Trump wrote, “Who knows, maybe they’ll be selling oil to India someday!” The conditional wording matters: it was speculation, not a commitment by Pakistan or the United States. The sources reviewed do not establish an India export agreement, export plan or sale resulting from the announcement.
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What later developments do—and do not—show
U.S.–Pakistan energy discussions continued
On May 14, 2026, Radio Pakistan reported that Pakistan and the United States had agreed to explore further opportunities for petroleum and energy cooperation. Pakistan’s petroleum minister discussed possible oil and gas exploration joint ventures, port infrastructure, storage and refinery upgrades. The report also said Pakistan had imported six million barrels of U.S. crude, according to the minister. These details show later bilateral energy engagement, but the report did not say a lead company had been selected for the specific 2025 partnership. Radio Pakistan’s May 14, 2026 report.
Pakistan’s offshore licensing is a separate programme
Pakistan held an Offshore Bid Round in 2025, then announced in May 2026 that it had signed production-sharing agreements and exploration licences for 23 blocks in the Indus and Makran basins. The government described this as reopening the offshore frontier after nearly two decades. It is evidence of Pakistan’s broader exploration programme, not evidence that those blocks belong to the U.S.–Pakistan partnership. The government’s report on the 23 offshore blocks.
The government also reported that a U.S.-firm basin study indicated offshore “yet-to-find” potential. That phrase refers to prospective resources, not oil already discovered or proved. The May 2026 report.
National estimates and a domestic discovery are not partnership results
On July 4, 2026, Radio Pakistan reported Petroleum Minister Ali Pervaiz Malik’s estimate of 240 million barrels in national oil reserves and production of about 65,000 barrels per day. Those are figures attributed to the minister, not a project-specific estimate tied to Trump’s announcement. Radio Pakistan’s July 4, 2026 report.
Separately, the Government of Pakistan said a domestic discovery in the Nashpa Block was expected to yield approximately 4,100 barrels of oil per day. It was not reported as a discovery under the U.S. partnership. The government’s January 2, 2026 announcement.
How to interpret Pakistan’s oil figures
Different oil figures describe different things. A national reserve estimate is not the same as daily production, and neither establishes what a particular partnership has found. Prospective “yet-to-find” resources are potential, not discovered or proved reserves.
- Estimated national reserves: 240 million barrels, as stated by Pakistan’s petroleum minister in July 2026.
- Current production: about 65,000 barrels per day, as stated by the minister in the same report.
- Prospective offshore resources: “Yet-to-find” potential described in a government report; not a confirmed discovery or proved reserve.
- Separate Nashpa discovery: approximately 4,100 barrels per day expected, according to the government’s January 2026 announcement.
None of those figures quantifies oil discovered through the bilateral announcement. Keeping the categories separate avoids treating an estimate, a production rate, an exploration prospect and a separate discovery as interchangeable.
Independent reader supportYour contribution helps us test, update, and keep practical guides available for everyone.What remains unconfirmed
The public updates cited here do not establish that a lead company was selected for the specific 2025 U.S.–Pakistan oil partnership. They also do not document a project site, a partnership-specific reserve discovery, or a sale of Pakistani oil to India. The clearest supported account is that Trump announced intended cooperation, subsequent bilateral energy discussions continued, and Pakistan pursued other exploration activity in parallel.
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