Official Trump (TRUMP), the Solana-based meme coin launched in January 2025, had fallen about 95% from its reported launch-period high by the later price date in an SEC-filed registration statement: the filing gives a high of approximately $64–$70 between January 17 and 19, 2025, and a price of $3.14 on February 11, 2026. That is a dated historical comparison, not a quote for October 8, 2026. The record also shows a highly concentrated token supply and sharply uneven reported wallet outcomes—but does not establish that every holder lost money.
What is Trump’s meme coin?
Official Trump, commonly called TRUMP or $TRUMP, is a Solana-based meme coin released in January 2025. A 2026 SEC-filed registration statement describes meme coins as crypto assets whose value is primarily driven by online popularity, cultural relevance and social sentiment rather than underlying technological utility. It says no particular blockchain-based utility beyond branding and association with Donald Trump had been announced.
The official project site presents TRUMP as a digital collectible and expression of support. Its disclosures say the tokens “do not have any payment functionality, transactional utility, or commercial integration, and are not redeemable for goods, services, or cash.” The site also says they are not intended as an investment opportunity.
How much has the Trump coin fallen?
Canary Capital Group LLC’s SEC-filed registration statement reports a launch-period high of approximately $64–$70 between January 17 and January 19, 2025. It lists a price of $3.14 and circulating market capitalization of approximately $1.68 billion as of February 11, 2026. Comparing that dated price with the high range implies a decline of roughly 95%.
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The dates matter: the $3.14 figure is from February 11, 2026, not October 8, 2026. The materials available here do not establish TRUMP’s price or circulating supply on October 8, 2026, so the February figure should not be treated as a live market quote.
The House Oversight Democrats’ January 20, 2026 report separately says the coin had fallen more than 60% from its high by January 31, 2025, citing Bloomberg. That is an earlier measurement at a different date, not a contradiction of the later SEC-filed comparison.
Did holders lose money?
Some did, but the available figures do not show that every holder lost. The House Oversight Democrats report, citing CNBC, says approximately 764,000 wallets had lost money by May 2025. It also reports that 58 wallets had made more than $10 million each, with about $1.1 billion in combined profits.
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Those are wallet counts and profit figures summarized by the House report, not a census of unique people or a complete audited record of every holder’s outcome. The materials do not establish whether the reported profits were all realized, or how the underlying analysis treated transfers, multiple wallets belonging to one person, and other activity.
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Who controls the supply, and what do token unlocks mean?
The SEC-filed registration statement gives TRUMP a total supply of 1 billion tokens. It says approximately 200 million were issued at launch and approximately 800 million were retained by entities affiliated with the Trump Organization. The official project site describes the allocation as 80% to Creators and CIC Digital, 10% to liquidity and 10% to public distribution.
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Both the filing and the project site describe a 36-month release period for the retained tokens. The filing says the schedule includes large “cliff” unlocks and smaller daily linear releases. An unlock makes tokens eligible to enter circulation and be traded; it does not, by itself, prove that tokens were sold.
The filing also says CIC Digital LLC and Celebration Cards LLC, which own Fight Fight Fight LLC, receive trading revenue derived from TRUMP trading activities. Associated Press coverage from January 19, 2025 reported at launch that CIC Digital and another company collectively owned 80% and would receive trading revenue, citing the project site.
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The SEC-filed registration statement calls TRUMP highly speculative and warns that buyers could lose their entire investment. It identifies price volatility, political sentiment, adverse publicity and sales of substantial affiliated token holdings as possible risks. Those are disclosed risks, not predictions that any particular event or sale will occur.
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The filing states: “Accordingly, an investment in TRUMP is highly speculative and subject to high levels of risk, including the risk of loss of the entire amount invested.” This is a warning about possible loss, not a claim that all holders will lose everything.
Did the SEC rule that TRUMP is not a security?
No such conclusion is established by the cited materials. An SEC-filed Trump Coin ETF registration statement filed in August 2025 says SEC Division of Corporation Finance staff stated on February 27, 2025 that transactions in certain memecoins do not involve offers and sales of securities under federal securities laws. The filing also stresses that the staff statement is not a rule, regulation or binding SEC guidance, and that the SEC, other regulators or courts could reach a different view about TRUMP.
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