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1Repair Windows errors before they cause bigger problems2Scan for outdated or missing drivers - takes under a minute3Clear out junk files and repair common Windows errorsU.S. farmers are exposed when China restricts or shifts purchases of American crops, but the trade figures do not translate directly into an equal-sized loss for farm households. The clearest measure of the risk is export value: USDA reports that U.S. agricultural exports to China fell sharply in 2025, while announced purchase commitments in 2025 and 2026 point to a possible recovery that has not yet been verified in completed-trade data.
How much did U.S. agricultural exports to China change?
The latest full calendar-year figures show a steep decline. The USDA Economic Research Service (ERS) reports that U.S. agricultural exports to China were $8.4 billion in 2025, down 66 percent from 2024. China fell to the sixth-largest U.S. agricultural export market. ERS associates the drop with reciprocal tariffs and lower soybean demand, but the figures do not establish that tariffs alone caused the entire decline. USDA ERS agricultural trade data, updated June 30, 2026.
That is a change in the value of exports to one destination—not a direct accounting of farmers’ lost income. The impact on a producer depends on what they grow, the price they receive, whether they can sell elsewhere, and their production costs. Export statistics also include a range of agricultural products, not just crops grown on U.S. farms.
What does the 2018 tariff episode tell farmers?
The 2018 retaliation is a useful precedent for the scale of exposure, not a forecast of what the current dispute will cost. China’s tariffs affected approximately 98 percent of U.S. agricultural exports to China in 2017, representing $30.4 billion in exports. Soybeans and most pork products faced 25 percent tariffs in the period examined by ERS. About 30 percent of U.S. soybeans had gone to China before the retaliation period, making the crop particularly exposed. USDA ERS, The Economic Impacts of Retaliatory Tariffs on U.S. Agriculture (2022).
#1 Best Overall
- Adequate Quantity:You will receive 15 berry baskets, ideal for storing and displaying various fruits like strawberries, blueberries, raspberries, and small vegetables, perfect for farmers market display or home use
- Capacity and Size:Each basket measures 4 x 4 x 1.8 inches, perfect for small amounts of berries and other produce. The baskets are stackable, saving space when not in use and keeping your kitchen or market display organized
- Reliable Material:Made from durable, compostable pulp fiber, these baskets are sturdy, leak-resistant, and designed to withstand long-term use. They provide a reliable solution for fruit storage and farmers market decor
- Ventilation Performance:Slotted sides promote air circulation, keeping your produce fresh in both humid and dry conditions. This design ensures that your fruits and vegetables stay fresh, even in summer heat
- Wide Application:These versatile berry baskets are perfect for farmers market display, picnics, BBQs, home kitchens, and special events like weddings or parties. They can also be used for craft projects or as gift baskets
ERS reported that the value of U.S. agricultural exports to China declined by just over $10.3 billion in 2018. Soybean, wheat, and corn export values to China each fell by more than 60 percent. At the same time, exports to countries that did not retaliate rose $9.7 billion, evidence that some sales shifted to other destinations. The comparison cannot isolate tariffs from weather, crop supplies, demand changes, and other factors.
As ERS put it, “These retaliatory tariffs increased the imported prices of U.S. agricultural products relative to alternatives, either domestically produced or from other international sources.” That disadvantage can make buyers switch suppliers even when the U.S. crop remains available.
Rank #2
- 42-count 1-quart set: Each green produce basket measures 5.5 x 5.5 x 3.25 in and holds berries, fruit or vegetables in a uniform quart portion.
- Molded pulp fiber construction: Vented containers help produce stay presented neatly. Containers maintain their shape through handling and light splashes.
- For farmers markets and farm stands: Display strawberries, tomatoes, peppers, cherries and other fresh produce in consistent quart quantities.
- Pick, package and display: Use as tomato baskets, berry containers, fruit boxes or vegetable baskets for harvesting, gifting or retail presentation.
- More display options: Green mini fruit crates also suit baked goods, party favors, crafts and rustic farm decor.
How the 2018 precedent and 2025 data compare
| Period | What the export figure measures | Policy context |
|---|---|---|
| 2018 | U.S. agricultural exports to China declined by just over $10.3 billion during the year, according to USDA ERS’s 2022 retrospective. | China retaliated with tariffs on U.S. goods; ERS cautions that supply, weather, demand, and other changes also affected trade. |
| 2025 | U.S. agricultural exports to China totaled $8.4 billion for calendar year 2025, down 66 percent year over year, according to USDA ERS data updated June 30, 2026. | ERS connects the decline with reciprocal tariffs and lower soybean demand; the figure does not isolate the effect of tariffs alone. |
The two rows describe different measures: a year-over-year decline in 2018 and a full-year export total and percentage change in 2025. They show that trade disruption can reach billions of dollars in export value, but neither number is a total of farmers’ net losses.
Which crops are most exposed to Chinese tariffs?
Exposure depends on how important China is as a buyer for a particular commodity and whether other buyers can absorb the supply. Soybeans are the clearest example in the available USDA evidence: they are among the leading U.S. agricultural exports, and a substantial share had previously gone to China. The 2018 episode also showed sharp declines in U.S. wheat and corn export values to China.
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Rank #3
- Please confirm the product size before buying!
- Adequate Quantity - You will receive 30 farmers market baskets in total, These vented baskets are perfect for storing all kinds of fruits and veggies,which is plenty to meet the needs of families, coworkers, and students participating in group activities. Size:4.3*4.3*2.76in
- Reliable Material - The paper material applied in making these harvest baskets contributes to its sturdiness, you can add some water to the fruit, which can keep the fruit fresh, bringing you a smooth and comfortable using experience
- Ventilation - The basket features slotted sides for ventilation, effectively providing air for your fruits during the hot summer months. Your berries will stay fresh and plump during the summer because of this efficient design
- Friendly Alternative - The basket features slotted sides for ventilation, effectively providing air for your fruits during the hot summer months. Your berries will stay fresh and plump during the summer because of this efficient design
Tariffs can reduce the competitiveness of U.S. products relative to domestic alternatives or suppliers in other countries. If exporters redirect a crop, farmers may still face lower prices or greater selling costs; if buyers do not replace the lost demand, the effect may be more severe. Outcomes vary by commodity, production region, harvest, and competing supply, so the evidence does not support a single loss estimate for every farmer.
Do the 2025 and 2026 purchase commitments change the outlook?
They may reduce uncertainty for exporters if the purchases occur, but announced commitments are not completed transactions. The White House’s November 1, 2025 fact sheet said China would suspend specified retaliatory tariffs announced since March 4, 2025, buy at least 12 million metric tons of U.S. soybeans in the final two months of 2025, and buy at least 25 million metric tons in each of 2026, 2027, and 2028. It also said the United States would maintain suspension of heightened reciprocal tariffs on Chinese imports until November 10, 2026. These are the terms announced by the White House, not evidence that every purchase has been made. White House fact sheet, November 1, 2025.
Rank #4
- LARGE SIZE FOR FARM STAND & MARKET DISPLAY: Holds 1 quart (2 pints) of fresh produce including cherry tomatoes, strawberries, blueberries, peppers, and mixed veggies. The 20-pack provides plenty of containers for a busy farmers market or a full garden harvest
- STRONG, ABSORBENT & SUSTAINABLE MATERIAL: Made from compressed natural pulp fibers, these baskets are sturdy enough to hold heavier fruits and vegetables without collapsing. The absorbent material wicks away excess moisture, keeping produce fresher longer, plastic-free and recyclable
- VENTED DESIGN FOR AIRFLOW & FRESHNESS: Integrated slots and ventilation allow air to circulate, reducing moisture buildup that can lead to mold and spoilage. Essential for extending the shelf life of berries, cherries, and other fresh-picked produce
- MULTI-PURPOSE FOR GARDEN, PARTIES & GIFTS: Suitable for sharing garden harvest with neighbors, creating locally grown party favors for baby showers and birthdays, serving fruits at rustic-themed events, or gifting freshly picked produce in a beautiful container
- RUSTIC NATURAL LOOK FOR DISPLAY: Neutral kraft color provides a beautiful contrast to vibrant fruits and vegetables, making your display pop. Suitable for small farmers, home gardeners, or farm-to-table events and adds a professional, rustic touch customers love
A separate White House fact sheet dated May 17, 2026, announced that China would buy at least $17 billion in U.S. agricultural products annually in 2026 (prorated), 2027, and 2028, in addition to the October 2025 soybean commitments. It also announced restored market access for U.S. beef through renewed listings for more than 400 facilities and additional listings. These are commitments and announced access steps, not proof of annual completed trade. The official sources reviewed do not establish a cumulative total that verifies fulfillment of the 2026 commitments through October 8, 2026. White House fact sheet, May 17, 2026.
Independent reader supportYour contribution helps us test, update, and keep practical guides available for everyone.What do farm income forecasts and federal aid actually show?
Broader farm-sector forecasts provide context, but they do not measure the trade war’s cost. USDA ERS forecasts 2026 inflation-adjusted farm cash receipts of $540.3 billion, down $18.0 billion, or 3.2 percent, from 2025. Within that forecast, inflation-adjusted crop receipts are projected to rise $7.5 billion, and soybean receipts are projected to rise $4.3 billion in nominal terms, mainly because of higher prices. ERS also forecasts $47.4 billion in direct government farm payments for 2026, $19.5 billion more than in 2025. Those are sector-wide projections and payments; none isolates the effect of China policy. USDA ERS, Farm Sector Income Forecast, reviewed October 2026.
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- Value Set of 100: Package includes 100 packs of natural pulp fiber berry baskets. Perfect for small business owners, avid gardeners, or anyone hosting large events, this generous pack ensures you always have sturdy berry containers on hand and eliminate the hassle of frequent reordering.
- Medium Size: Designed in a rectangular shape, our strawberry produce vented container is perfectly sized at 7.4''L x 4.7''W x2.5''H, offering an ideal capacity for a wide variety of fruits and vegetables. The efficient design allows for easy stacking, saving valuable storage space in your kitchen, pantry, or market display.
- Durable Pulp Fiber Material: These molded fruit boxes are made of natural pulp fiber material, sturdy and lightweight. The safe and thick material resists tearing, reliably protecting your delicate berries and vegetables during transport and display, which is a responsible choice for repeated use.
- Ventilation Design: The innovative ventilation design features strategic side slots that promote optimal air circulation around your produce. The enhanced airflow helps keep your fruits and vegetables looking and tasting fresh longer, maintaining the quality of your harvest and reducing waste.
- Multi-used Picking Basket: Pumtus vegetable picking holder comfortably accommodates strawberries, blueberries, raspberries, cherry tomatoes, small peppers and more. The versatile shape and size make it a must-have for grocery stores, farmers markets, roadside stands, backyard parties, picnics and buffets.
USDA’s Farm Service Agency announced $12 billion in one-time bridge payments in December 2025, including up to $11 billion for row-crop farmers. USDA described the program as covering a portion of modeled 2025 crop-year losses amid market disruptions and elevated input costs. It should not be treated as a dollar-for-dollar reimbursement for China tariffs or as proof that a farmer’s losses were fully covered. USDA Farm Service Agency announcement, December 10, 2025.
What “cost farmers billions” can and cannot mean
The phrase is supportable when it describes billions of dollars in agricultural export value exposed to disruption or a decline in exports to China. USDA’s 2018 retrospective and 2025 trade data document changes of that scale. They do not show that U.S. farmers collectively lost the same amount in net income. Farm revenue also reflects sales to other destinations and domestic buyers, crop prices, input costs, government payments, and which commodities a farmer produces.
For farmers, the practical financial risk is that dependence on a major buyer can leave a crop harder to sell or less valuable when trade terms change. The size of that risk is different from the export-value figures, and it cannot be calculated for an individual operation from national trade totals alone.
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