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Yes—recent market measures show cyber insurance rates falling, but that does not guarantee a cheaper renewal for every business. Marsh reported a 4% decline in global cyber rates in Q2 2026, while the U.S. National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC) reported a separate 5% average rate decline in Q4 2024. Competition and available insurer capacity are helping create buyer-friendly conditions; individual renewal prices still depend on a business’s risks, claims, coverage and controls.
What the reported declines mean—and what they do not
Market-wide rate indices, total premiums written and the price on one company’s policy are different measures. Keeping them separate helps explain why a falling market index may not match your renewal.
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| Measure | What was reported | How to read it |
|---|---|---|
| Global cyber insurance rates | Down 4% in Q2 2026, according to Marsh; the twelfth consecutive quarterly decline. | A rounded average reflecting the mix of Marsh’s clients, not a forecast or quote for every insured. Marsh Global Insurance Market Index, Q2 2026. |
| U.S. cyber insurance rates | Down an average 5% in Q4 2024, according to Marsh. | A U.S. market measure for that quarter; it is not the same period or geography as Marsh’s global Q2 2026 figure. Marsh U.S. cyber insurance market update. |
| U.S. direct written premium, including alien surplus lines | About $9.14 billion in 2024, approximately 7% below 2023, according to NAIC. | This is the volume of premium written, not the change in the rate charged for an individual policy. NAIC, Report on the Cybersecurity Insurance Market (2025). |
| U.S.-domiciled insurers’ direct written premium | $7.08 billion in 2024, down from $7.25 billion in 2023, according to NAIC. | A domestic-insurer figure; it excludes the broader total that includes alien surplus lines. It is premium volume, not an individual rate change. NAIC, Report on the Cybersecurity Insurance Market (2025). |
| Global cyber insurance premium volume | Nearly $15 billion in 2024, 7% above 2023, according to NAIC; Munich Re also estimated nearly USD 15 billion for 2025. | Market size can grow while average rates fall: more businesses may buy cover, or existing buyers may purchase more. Munich Re estimates the market could reach around USD 28 billion by 2030; that is a projection of market size, not a prediction that each policyholder’s price will rise. NAIC (2025); Munich Re, Global Cyber Risk and Insurance Survey 2026. |
| Premium change in a broker survey | Down 2.6% in Q3 2025, according to IOA’s summary of the Council of Insurance Agents & Brokers survey; IOA said 14% of respondents reported premium increases in the previous quarter. | A survey-reported indicator, not a universal change for all businesses. IOA, 2026 Cyber Market Outlook. |
The NAIC also reported that the number of reported U.S. cyber claims rose almost 40% in 2024, to nearly 50,000. That claim count is not a measure of large-claim severity or of the rate charged at renewal.
Why cyber insurance rates have been falling
More insurer capacity and competition
Marsh described capacity as stable and competition among insurers as high in Q2 2026. IOA’s 2026 outlook also described capacity as ample and expanding in some business classes. When several insurers are willing to consider a risk, buyers may have more choice; the market reports do not establish a uniform price reduction for every account.
Security controls help insurers distinguish risks
Marsh said underwriters viewed companies’ continued investment in cybersecurity controls favorably. Aon likewise says renewal outcomes increasingly reflect exposure quality and risk management. Documented safeguards may help an insurer assess a business, but the reports do not establish that any particular control earns a guaranteed discount.
Fewer severe large losses may be easing pressure
IOA attributes part of the continuing rate declines in its 2026 outlook to lower claim severity and fewer large cyber claims in 2025. That does not mean cyber threats or all types of claims are declining: IOA says criminal activity remains elevated, and NAIC reported an increase in U.S. claim counts in 2024. Claim frequency, the severity of large losses and insurance pricing are separate measures.
Some buyers may find broader terms
For Q2 2026, Marsh reported that broader coverage, higher limits and reduced retentions were often available, alongside easing underwriting scrutiny. Insurers continued to focus on systemic risks and the quality of each applicant’s exposure, so favorable terms are not assured for every policy.
What your business should expect at renewal
Reports through Q2 2026 describe favorable conditions across North America and EMEA, with robust capacity and stable limits, according to Aon. But Aon also says results vary with sector, loss history and risk profile. Systemic events, losses concentrated among shared vendors, or rising third-party claims could slow rate reductions.
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So a cheaper renewal is possible, not automatic. The market indicators describe groups of policies with different clients, periods and geographies. Your price and terms depend on the business’s own exposures and on what the insurer is being asked to cover.
How to compare cyber insurance renewal offers
Ask your broker or insurer to put each proposal in comparable terms. A lower premium is useful only if the protection still fits the business’s needs.
- Compare premium with coverage. Review what incidents are covered and which exclusions apply, rather than comparing the price alone.
- Check limits, sublimits and retentions. Confirm the maximum available payment, any smaller limits for specific coverages, and the amount your business must bear before insurance responds.
- Read the coverage structure. Establish whether the cyber protection is a standalone policy or an endorsement attached to another policy. IOA warns that a generalized endorsement with a low limit may leave gaps compared with tailored standalone coverage.
- Check incident response and business interruption terms. Use the policy wording to verify what response services are included and how business interruption losses are treated.
- Match the policy to your exposure. Discuss sector, geography, claims history, third-party dependencies and documented security controls with the broker or insurer.
Market reports can describe broad conditions, but they cannot determine whether a particular policy is adequate for an individual business. Confirm the wording against the risks the organization needs to insure.
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The figures above refer to different geographies, reporting periods and measures. NAIC figures cover U.S. premium volume; Marsh’s Q2 2026 figure is a global portfolio rate measure, while its Q4 2024 figure is U.S.-specific. Munich Re’s 2030 figure is an estimate of global market size. None establishes a savings amount for an individual buyer.
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