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Yes—by one measure. U.S.-resident trips to Canada reached 2,182,900 in June 2026, up 5.1% from June 2025, according to Statistics Canada’s preliminary monthly indicator. But the figures do not show that Americans were responding to a Canadian travel boycott, and the increase does not describe every part of the travel relationship.
What does the June 2026 count show?
Statistics Canada recorded 2,182,900 trips to Canada by U.S. residents in June 2026, 5.1% more than in June 2025. This is a year-over-year comparison for one month, not evidence that U.S. travel to Canada rose throughout 2026 or that the same trend will continue. The agency’s June 2026 leading indicator is preliminary and covers arrivals by air and automobile.
The mode data were mixed: U.S.-resident automobile trips to Canada increased from a year earlier, while air trips dipped slightly. The overall increase therefore should not be read as a uniform rise across every type of travel.
Did Canadians also travel to the United States more?
Canadian-resident return trips from the United States reached 1,746,129 in June 2026, up 3.2% from June 2025. That is a separate measure from U.S.-resident trips to Canada: it counts Canadians returning home after visiting the United States, not Americans entering Canada.
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The comparison changes substantially with a different baseline: Canadian return trips were still 28.7% below June 2024. Statistics Canada says the June year-over-year increase reflected a base-year effect. By mode, automobile returns rose 5.2% year over year, while air returns fell 3.8%. A single monthly increase, then, does not establish that Canadian travel to the United States had returned to its earlier level.
How does the monthly increase fit the wider travel pattern?
Statistics Canada’s annual estimates show that Canadian residents made 23.1 million trips that included a visit to the United States in 2025, down 23.5% from 2024 and 26.7% from 2019. In the same year, domestic visits rose 1.5% to 342.0 million, while overseas visits increased 10.2% to 14.3 million.
These annual figures suggest a broad change in where Canadians travelled, not a one-for-one transfer of trips from the United States to Canada. Domestic and overseas visits are different destination categories, and neither total means that all travel no longer going to the United States was redirected to Canada. The annual estimates come from Statistics Canada’s National Travel Survey, rather than the monthly air-and-automobile arrival indicator, so they are not directly interchangeable.
The shorter-term picture also varied by period. In the fourth quarter of 2025, U.S.-resident trips to Canada were down 4.1% year over year, even as those visitors’ spending rose 15.1% to $3.4 billion. The June 2026 increase followed that decline; it does not erase it. Statistics Canada’s fourth-quarter 2025 travel release reports preliminary inbound visitor estimates.
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No. Statistics Canada says travel trends among Canadian residents shifted alongside political tensions between Canada and the United States beginning in early 2025. That establishes the context and timing, not the cause of an individual trip or a measured boycott effect. The monthly arrival counts do not identify travellers’ motivations or isolate the impact of a boycott from other influences.
A February 2026 Bank of Canada staff analysis by Olga Bilyk and Jacob Dolinar describes Canadians increasing spending on domestic travel and grocery products from Canadian companies while reducing spending on similar U.S. products and services. The authors’ article, “Assessing the Buy Canadian movement one year later,” offers context for changing consumer choices; it is not a causal estimate of how much a travel boycott changed cross-border trips. The Bank notes that the views are the authors’ and may differ from official Bank views.
Independent reader supportYour contribution helps us test, update, and keep practical guides available for everyone.How precise are these arrival figures?
The June 2026 indicator is preliminary, and the systems behind it do not capture every arrival. Statistics Canada reports that in 2025 its source systems captured 86.2% of commercial air arrivals and 87.9% of automobile entries at land ports equipped with the Integrated Primary Inspection Line. The reported counts should therefore be understood as an indicator, not a complete census of every border crossing.
Definitions matter, too. Statistics Canada’s quarterly release distinguishes trips from visits: a trip can include one or more visits, so visit totals can equal or exceed trip totals. Its domestic and outbound estimates are not seasonally adjusted. Those measures should not be casually combined with monthly arrival counts as though they described the same population, period, or unit.
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