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Where Is Farmland Going? Global Land-Use Trends Through 2024

Cropland is expanding while permanent pasture shrinks, and total agricultural land is falling. Here are the FAO, USDA and OECD-FAO figures behind where farmland is going, and what they can't tell you about land value.
From TheFinanceBase Team4 min to read
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Farmland is not disappearing everywhere at once. Between 2001 and 2024, global cropland expanded while permanent meadows and pastures shrank by more, so total agricultural land fell. Cropland growth was concentrated in Africa, South America and South-eastern Asia, and the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) attributes about 72% of forest land loss over the same period to cropland expansion.

These are net global figures. They describe how each land category changed in total, not where every hectare that left agriculture ended up.

FAO’s land-statistics release of 17 July 2026 states: “FAOSTAT data reveal a shift in global land use patterns, with cropland expanding while total agricultural land declines.”

Three land categories moving in different directions

“Farmland” is a loose term. FAO’s series separates cropland from permanent meadows and pastures, and the two together make up agricultural land. Each category moved differently between 2001 and 2024.

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Land category (FAO series) Change, 2001 to 2024 Direction in FAO’s summary
Cropland +92 million hectares Expanded
Permanent meadows and pastures −238 million hectares Declined
Total agricultural land Amount not stated in FAO’s summary Declined

In 2024, FAO recorded 4.6 billion hectares of agricultural land globally, more than one-third of the world’s total land area. Adding the two category changes above gives a net decline of about 146 million hectares. That sum is our arithmetic from FAO’s two figures, not a number FAO reports for total agricultural land.

Where cropland is growing and shrinking

FAO’s 2001 to 2024 comparison names Africa as the main driver of cropland expansion, followed by South America and South-eastern Asia. FAO’s regional breakdown for 2001 to 2023 gives the following changes in cropland area.

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Region Cropland change, 2001 to 2023
Africa +75 million hectares
South America +25 million hectares
South-eastern Asia +20 million hectares
Northern America, Eastern Europe and Southern Europe Reductions; amounts not stated in FAO’s release

The regional figures come from a different release period than the 2001 to 2024 global totals. Keep them in their own frame and do not add them to the global numbers as if they were one dataset.

Where land that leaves agriculture goes

“Where is farmland going?” can mean three different things, and the evidence answers two of them more clearly than the third.

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  • Where cropland is expanding: mainly Africa, South America and South-eastern Asia, according to FAO’s 2001 to 2024 comparison.
  • Which agricultural category is shrinking: permanent meadows and pastures, which lost 238 million hectares in the same period.
  • What replaces land converted out of agriculture: FAO’s summary does not enumerate these destinations. Urban development, infrastructure, restoration and abandonment are all possible, but the summary does not measure how much land went to each.

Pasture decline is therefore not proof that the land became cropland or built-up land. The forest link is also narrower than it sounds. The 72% figure is FAO’s attribution within its land-statistics account. It is not a parcel-by-parcel record of what happened to each cleared forest.

Indicators that describe productive capacity

Acreage alone does not show how productive farmland is or how much pressure it is under. FAO’s recent releases add the following indicators.

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Indicator Figure Source and year
Land equipped for irrigation 351 million hectares, about 22% of cropland FAO, 2026 (2024 data)
Land under organic agriculture 121 million hectares FAO, 2026 (2024 data)
Cropland per person About 20% lower than in 2001 FAO, 2026
Land productivity Nearly 68% higher than in 2001 FAO, 2026
Human-induced land degradation occurring on agricultural land More than 60% FAO, 2025
Freshwater withdrawals attributed to agriculture More than 70% FAO, 2025

FAO links rising productivity and irrigation to intensification, and it also reports continuing pressure on forests and land resources. These indicators are descriptions of the same period, not measurements of cause and effect. FAO’s 2025 land and water assessment treats degradation, water scarcity and climate change as pressures on agricultural production and ecosystems. Its State of Food and Agriculture 2025 report examines land degradation across landholdings of different sizes, including effects on producers and vulnerable groups, and it discusses regulatory and incentive-based policy options.

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The United States: a separate accounting system

The U.S. Department of Agriculture’s Economic Research Service (USDA ERS) tracks land under its own major-land-use categories. They do not map directly onto FAO’s series, so U.S. claims should be checked against USDA’s tables. These categories are:

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  • Cropland
  • Grassland pasture and range
  • Forest-use land
  • Special-use land
  • Urban land
  • Miscellaneous land

USDA’s tables run through 2022. USDA ERS points to several mechanisms in U.S. farmland use: urban pressure, the relative profitability of cropland, demand for corn for ethanol, crop insurance and other farm programs, drought risk, and conservation funding. These are U.S.-specific drivers and should not be applied to other countries without separate evidence. The USDA data-product page alone does not establish how much farmland moved into each category in a given year, so check the relevant tables before quoting a state or annual figure.

Outlook: projections, not observations

The OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2024–2033 projects that cropland will decrease in North America and Western Europe through 2033. The report attributes this to strict environmental sustainability rules that limit increases in crop production and the loss of natural habitats. This is a forecast under the report’s assumptions. It is not a measured change, and its regional definitions and charts should be used for any detailed projection.

What these numbers can and cannot tell a money reader

The sources above measure area, productivity and environmental pressure. They do not report farmland prices, cash rents or investment returns, so none of these figures alone supports a view on what farmland is worth or will earn. A few practical checks help when a headline links land use to money:

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  • Separate area from value. A hectare that is no longer farmed may change price for reasons unrelated to the global cropland count.
  • Match the category to the claim. “Cropland” is one FAO category, not a synonym for all farmland.
  • Match the geography to the source. Use FAO for global context and USDA ERS for U.S. land categories.
  • Treat degradation and water figures as context. They describe pressure on productive capacity. They are not a measure of land value.
  • Use a dedicated land-value series for prices. Land-use statistics are not built to track sale prices or rents.

Product prices and availability are accurate as of the date/time indicated and are subject to change. Any price and availability information displayed on Amazon at the time of purchase will apply.

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