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The Finance Base
FY 2027

Kansas Individual Income Tax Collections Miss September 2026 Estimate, but FY 2027 Is Ahead

September 2026 Kansas individual income tax receipts missed the monthly estimate by 2.7%, while cumulative FY 2027 receipts through September were 4.1% above estimate.

By TheFinanceBase Team 2 min read
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Kansas collected $477,697,618 in individual income taxes in September 2026, $13,302,382 (2.7%) below the month’s $491 million estimate. But the fiscal-year picture through September was different: receipts totaled $1,276,769,121, or $50,769,121 (4.1%) above the cumulative estimate. These are State General Fund receipts, not a measure of any individual taxpayer’s bill.

How far below estimate were Kansas income tax collections?

The Kansas Division of the Budget’s FY 2027 State General Fund Receipts report, dated October 1, 2026, shows a September shortfall against the monthly estimate:

Reporting period Actual individual income tax receipts Estimate Difference
September 2026 $477,697,618 $491,000,000 $13,302,382 below estimate (2.7%)
FY 2027 through September 2026 $1,276,769,121 $1,226,000,000 $50,769,121 above estimate (4.1%)

The monthly figure compares September receipts with September’s estimate. The cumulative figure compares all receipts from the start of FY 2027 through September with the estimate for that same span. The two comparisons should not be conflated: September missed its target, while year-to-date collections remained ahead.

Source: Kansas Division of the Budget, FY 2027 State General Fund Receipts, Final Report: September 2026.

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Why were Kansas individual income tax collections below the estimate?

The September receipts report gives the actual amount and its comparison with the estimate, but does not identify a cause for the monthly variance. The available official material therefore does not establish why September collections came in below target. A one-month miss alone also does not show that collections are on a declining trend; the same report shows cumulative receipts through September above estimate.

What does the estimate represent?

Kansas’s consensus revenue estimate is used by the Governor and Legislature to determine State General Fund revenue. The estimating group includes the Division of the Budget, Department of Revenue, Legislative Research Department, and one consulting economist apiece from the University of Kansas, Kansas State University, and Wichita State University. The estimate is a benchmark for state revenue planning, not a prediction of an individual’s tax liability.

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More detail is available on the Division of the Budget’s Consensus Revenue Estimates page.

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How does this compare with an earlier Kansas report?

The March 2026 FY 2026 report also recorded shortfalls in both comparisons, but it covers a different fiscal year and period: individual income tax receipts were $3,663,342 (1.3%) below the March estimate and $69,818,067 (2.0%) below the cumulative estimate through March. It is a dated example, not evidence that the September 2026 result continued that earlier pattern.

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Source: Kansas Division of the Budget, FY 2026 State General Fund Receipts, March 2026.

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