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Re:

CPEC Is Still Moving Forward—but Security and Debt Risks Remain

Pakistan’s 2026 reviews show CPEC remains an active policy program, but they do not prove every project is funded or on schedule. The IMF’s debt assessment applies to Pakistan overall, not CPEC alone.
From TheFinanceBase Team4 min to read
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Yes—Pakistan and China were still publicly advancing the China–Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) as of August 2026. Official reviews covered the 2025–2029 action plan and Phase II, while calling for faster implementation and stronger coordination. That demonstrates continued policy attention, not that every project is funded, on schedule or insulated from security risks. Pakistan’s debt concerns are real, but the International Monetary Fund’s country-level assessment does not establish how much debt is attributable specifically to CPEC.

Is CPEC still going ahead?

Official activity in 2026 indicates that CPEC remains an active Pakistan–China program. The CPEC Secretariat reported that the 92nd CPEC Progress Review Meeting, held on August 31, 2026, examined the Pakistan–China Action Plan 2025–2029 and described Phase II as a program aimed at sustainable economic growth. The review also directed ministries and other stakeholders to accelerate implementation. Pakistan’s Ministry of Planning separately reported an August review focused on progress and coordination.

Those announcements show stated government priorities and continued review work. They do not, on their own, verify the financing, schedule or completion status of each project. A project-level judgment requires checking its current funding, contracts, construction progress and operating status rather than treating the corridor as one project with one delivery timetable.

What does CPEC Phase II include?

The Secretariat’s August 31 review identifies industry, agriculture, minerals, technology, human-resource development and business-to-business partnerships as areas for cooperation. It also reports that around 1,000 Pakistani agricultural experts are being sent to China for training, with the first batch having completed training and returned. That is a government-reported program detail; it does not by itself measure changes in agricultural productivity or economy-wide impact.

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August 2026 official materials also describe CPEC 2.0 through five corridors, but the labels vary by source. The Secretariat’s August 4 report names Innovation, Livelihood, Openness, Green and Growth. The Ministry of Planning’s August 5 release uses Growth, Livelihood, Innovation, Green Development and Regional Connectivity. The difference in wording is a reason to attribute the labels to the relevant source rather than present a single harmonized list as definitive.

The Secretariat’s August 31 review reports that Phase I brought approximately US$25 billion in Chinese investment and nearly 8,000 MW of additional power-generation capacity to Pakistan. These are figures reported by the Secretariat, not figures established here through an independent audit. They describe the government’s account of Phase I; they do not establish the status or expected return of every Phase II proposal.

What do security concerns mean for project delivery?

Security is an acknowledged operating concern in official statements. The Secretariat’s 91st CPEC Progress Review Meeting report, dated August 4, 2026, called for compliance with security and operational requirements alongside stronger stakeholder participation, timely coordination between ministries, and prompt execution of agreements and contracts. In May 2026, a joint statement by Pakistan and China also addressed counterterrorism and regional security.

These statements establish that governments treat security as relevant to operations and investor confidence. The available official materials do not provide a comprehensive incident series tied to CPEC projects, or independently verified estimates of how incidents have affected particular projects’ costs, schedules or output. It would therefore be misleading to give an attack count, trend rate or quantified delivery impact based on these statements alone. They also do not establish that insecurity has had no effect.

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Is CPEC adding to Pakistan’s debt?

The International Monetary Fund’s 2026 Pakistan assessment says public debt is sustainable over the medium term under its baseline, while medium-term risks remain high because of large gross financing needs and challenges obtaining external financing. The IMF’s statement is about Pakistan’s overall public finances; it is not a calculation of CPEC’s share of debt. The assessment does not provide a current consolidated total of CPEC liabilities or a project-by-project breakdown.

The Pakistani government’s CPEC Secretariat has described corridor financing as a mix of government-to-government loans, investment and grants. In its account, infrastructure financing includes concessional or interest-free loans; Gwadar projects may be grant-based or investment-funded; and energy projects are independent power producer projects financed primarily by private companies. This is the government’s characterization of financing arrangements, not an independent reconciliation of sovereign obligations, guarantees, power-sector arrears or contingent liabilities.

That distinction matters because a loan to a government, private equity in a project, a grant and a possible government guarantee are not interchangeable measures of public debt. Establishing CPEC’s contribution to Pakistan’s fiscal pressures would require current project-level data identifying the borrower, lender or investor, financing type, repayment terms, guarantees and outstanding obligations, as well as relevant power-payment liabilities.

How to read claims about CPEC’s future

  • Policy intention is not project completion. Reviews and action plans show what governments say they intend to pursue; verify delivery project by project.
  • Country debt is not CPEC debt. The IMF’s high-risk assessment concerns Pakistan’s broader financing position, not a CPEC-specific debt total.
  • Security requirements are not an incident count. Official concern is clear, but the cited materials do not quantify attacks or their effects on delivery.
  • Announced priorities are not necessarily funded outputs. Confirm financing, contracts and progress before treating a proposed Phase II area as a completed or fully financed project.

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