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China Imports No U.S. Soybeans for Third Month; Argentine Arrivals Up 633.6%

China’s November 2025 customs data showed no U.S. soybean arrivals for a third straight month, while Argentina’s shipments jumped 633.6% year over year. The increase was a monthly comparison, not a full-year growth rate.
From TheFinanceBase Team3 min to read
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China recorded no U.S.-origin soybean arrivals in November 2025, the third consecutive month at zero, while receiving 1.78 million metric tons from Argentina and 5.85 million metric tons from Brazil. The figures are a snapshot of cargoes that reached China—not all purchases made during the month or after the late-October trade truce.

What China imported in November 2025

Chinese customs data, as reported by Reuters on December 22, showed total soybean imports of 8.11 million metric tons in November. Brazil supplied 5.85 million metric tons, or 72% of the monthly total. Argentina supplied 1.78 million metric tons, or 21.9%. No U.S. soybeans were recorded as arriving, compared with 2.79 million metric tons from the United States in November 2024. Reuters, republished by Successful Farming

Origin November 2025 arrivals Share of November total
United States 0 metric tons 0%
Brazil 5.85 million metric tons 72%
Argentina 1.78 million metric tons 21.9%

Shares are rounded as reported; the three origins shown account for nearly all of November’s 8.11 million metric tons.

What the 633.6% increase means

Argentina’s 633.6% increase compares its November 2025 arrivals with November 2024. It is a one-month, year-over-year comparison—not a full-year growth rate. Argentina supplied 1.78 million metric tons in November 2025.

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For the longer January–November 2025 period, China imported 103.79 million metric tons in total. Argentina supplied 6.24 million metric tons, up 62.5% from the same period a year earlier; Brazil supplied 76.7 million metric tons, up 7%; and the United States supplied 16.82 million metric tons, down 5.9%. These cumulative totals cover eleven months and should not be confused with the November-only figures. Reuters, republished by Successful Farming

Why zero arrivals did not mean zero U.S. purchases

Customs arrival data measure cargoes that have reached China. They do not establish when buyers contracted for the beans, and they do not count cargoes still at sea or awaiting arrival. Reuters reported that China had bought more than 7 million metric tons of U.S. cargoes since the late-October 2025 trade truce, but those shipments had not arrived by the time November customs figures were reported. Sinograin, the state stockpiler, also held auctions to make room for expected U.S. arrivals. Reuters, republished by Successful Farming

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The distinction matters: a month with no recorded U.S. arrivals can coexist with newly booked U.S. cargoes. The November figure describes what cleared into China that month, not the full state of post-truce trade.

What changed after November

Later reporting confirms the zero-arrival stretch did not continue into 2026. The USDA Foreign Agricultural Service said U.S. arrivals were zero from September through December 2025 and that China resumed U.S. soybean procurement after the October 2025 presidential meeting in Busan. As of February 26, 2026, China had purchased or shipped 10.8 million metric tons against a 12 million metric ton U.S. commitment. USDA also cautioned that sales listed for an “unknown” destination were not confirmed as China-bound. USDA Foreign Agricultural Service, 2026 Oilseeds and Products Annual

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These later purchase and shipment figures are not November customs arrivals. They provide a subsequent update on procurement and should be read as a different measure from the monthly customs series.

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How South American supply shaped the mix

Brazil’s 5.85 million metric tons made it China’s largest November supplier. Argentina’s 1.78 million metric tons represented a sharp year-over-year jump, but Brazil still provided more than three times Argentina’s November volume. A separate September 2025 customs snapshot also showed no U.S. arrivals, with Brazil at 10.96 million metric tons and Argentina at 1.17 million; September’s supplier volumes and total imports are not interchangeable with November’s. Reuters, republished by Investing.com

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In its 2026 report, USDA FAS said South American beans were structurally price-competitive in early 2026 as Brazil entered harvest and marketed a large crop. That is the agency’s analysis of market conditions, not a finding that price alone caused November’s supplier mix. USDA forecast Chinese soybean imports of 108 million metric tons for marketing year 2026/27 and noted that slower soybean-meal demand could slow import-demand growth. The 108 million metric ton figure is a forecast, not an observed customs total. USDA Foreign Agricultural Service, 2026 Oilseeds and Products Annual

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