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Re:

Corn Crop Condition Falls 3 Percentage Points to 54%

Corn rated good or excellent fell from 57% to 54% in USDA’s latest weekly report, while harvest advanced to 23%, below its five-year average.
From TheFinanceBase Team2 min to read
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USDA’s latest Crop Progress report put U.S. corn rated good or excellent at 54% for the week ending October 4, 2026, down 3 percentage points from 57% the week before. Corn harvest reached 23% complete, still below its 27% five-year average. The report records these changes but does not identify a cause for the lower condition rating.

How much did corn condition decline?

The USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) reported that 54% of corn was rated good or excellent for the week ending October 4, 2026, compared with 57% in the preceding week. That is a decline of 3 percentage points—not a 3% decline.

The combined figure adds the “good” and “excellent” categories. NASS reported this full condition distribution:

Condition category Share of corn
Very poor 6%
Poor 12%
Fair 28%
Good 42%
Excellent 12%

The underlying USDA weekly report is available in the Crop Progress report for October 5, 2026.

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What do harvest and maturity figures show?

Harvest progress moved forward as condition ratings weakened, but the figures measure different things. NASS reported 23% of corn harvested, up from 18% the prior week. The 2021–2025 average for this point in the season was 27%, so harvest was 4 percentage points behind that average. Corn maturity was 83%, equal to its 2021–2025 average of 83%.

These figures describe concurrent crop progress; they do not show that harvesting caused the change in condition ratings.

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Why did the rating fall?

The October 5 report does not attribute the decline to weather, disease, harvest, or another factor. It reports surveyed condition estimates and compares them with the prior week; the figures alone do not establish why ratings changed.

Condition ratings are not a yield estimate or a production forecast. NASS explains that survey reporters estimate the share of a crop in five categories, from very poor to excellent, and respond as of Sunday. Its Crop Progress and Conditions survey guidance describes the method.

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How broad is the condition survey?

The condition summary covers 18 selected states that planted 91% of 2025 corn acreage. It represents broad coverage, but it is not a census of every U.S. corn acre. NASS describes the weekly Crop Progress publication as covering crop development, activities, and condition; the data may also be republished with revisions in the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin.

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