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Wheat futures fell ahead of the delayed USDA report
Wheat contracts were lower overnight as traders positioned ahead of USDA’s November supply-and-demand report. The report had originally been scheduled for Nov. 10, but was expected at the end of that week. USDA had not released its October report during the federal shutdown that began Oct. 1. These are the historical overnight quotes reported on Nov. 12, 2025.
| Contract | Overnight move | Reported price |
|---|---|---|
| Chicago Board of Trade December wheat | Down 4¾¢ | $5.31¼ per bushel |
| Kansas City December wheat | Down 6¢ | $5.17¾ per bushel |
| December corn | Down ¼¢ | $4.31¾ per bushel |
| November soybeans | Up 2½¢ | $11.29¾ per bushel |
| Soy meal | Up $1 | $317.90 per short ton |
| Soybean oil | Down 0.25¢ | 50.85¢ per pound |
A Reuters survey of market watchers, as reported in the Nov. 12 roundup, anticipated that USDA would raise wheat ending stocks to 867 million bushels, compared with 844 million in the agency’s September outlook. The 867-million-bushel figure was a survey expectation, not USDA’s final estimate.
Dairy prices declined while milk production increased
Truist Securities’ weekly restaurant commodity update showed lower cheese-block and butter prices in the seven days ending Nov. 10, 2025, while milk was unchanged. The same update showed all three categories below their year-earlier levels.
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| Dairy commodity | Change in seven days ending Nov. 10 | Year-over-year change |
|---|---|---|
| Cheese blocks | Down 8.4% | Down 6.3% |
| Milk | Flat | Down nearly 26% |
| Butter | Down 5.1% | Down 44% |
USDA production figures reported in the roundup showed September 2025 milk output at 18.3 billion pounds, 4.2% more than in September 2024. The agency revised August production to 18.8 billion pounds, up 3.6% year over year. The reported dairy-farm herd was 9.15 million cows, 235,000 more than a year earlier, and output averaged 1,999 pounds per cow, an increase of 30 pounds. Production for July through September totaled 58.2 billion pounds, up 3.8% year over year.
Dry, warm conditions were forecast in parts of Missouri and Kansas
For the days following Nov. 12, forecasters expected dry weather in northern Missouri and extreme eastern Kansas through the rest of the week. Temperatures could reach about 80°F and potentially set a record. Windy, dry conditions also raised the possibility of elevated fire weather on Saturday. These were forecasts for that week, not current conditions.
The National Weather Service described the outlook as: “Warm and dry conditions (are forecast) through this weekend.” In northern Indiana, snow and wind could reduce visibility and make travel slippery. The agency warned that melting snow could refreeze when overnight temperatures reached freezing or slightly below: “Temperatures overnight will also drop to freezing or slightly below freezing, which may cause wet roads from snow melt to refreeze, causing slippery conditions and black ice to form, especially on untreated roads and bridges.”
Independent reader supportYour contribution helps us test, update, and keep practical guides available for everyone.What these figures do—and do not—show
The roundup reported market quotes, commodity-price changes, production statistics and forecasts available on Nov. 12, 2025. It attributed the production numbers to USDA, the weekly dairy prices to Truist Securities, the wheat-stock expectation to a Reuters survey, and the weather statements to the National Weather Service. Those attributions do not make the figures current: the futures prices are dated snapshots, and the weather outlook has expired. The underlying agency and publisher reports were not independently verified for this account.
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