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Apple’s iPhone Revenue Fell 10%. Why Did Its Stock Jump?

Apple’s iPhone revenue fell 10.5% in its March 2024 quarter, yet shares jumped after hours. Services growth, resilient EPS and a $110 billion buyback explain why—but China and hardware weakness remained risks.
From TheFinanceBase Team4 min to read
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Apple’s fiscal second-quarter results on May 2, 2024, looked contradictory: iPhone revenue fell 10.5% year over year, yet Apple shares rose more than 6% in initial after-hours trading. The explanation was not a sudden recovery in iPhone demand. Investors focused on Apple’s resilient earnings, fast-growing services business, strong cash generation, and authorization for up to $110 billion in additional share repurchases.

That buyback was an authorization—not an immediate $110 billion purchase—and it did not eliminate the risks exposed by weaker iPhone and Greater China sales.

The key numbers from Apple’s March quarter

Apple’s fiscal second quarter ended March 30, 2024. The company reported mixed results: total revenue declined, but services and Mac revenue grew, while earnings per share reached a March-quarter record.

Metric Q2 FY2024 Q2 FY2023 Year-over-year change
Total revenue $90.753 billion $94.836 billion -4.3%
iPhone $45.963 billion $51.334 billion -10.5%
Mac $7.451 billion $7.168 billion +3.9%
iPad $5.559 billion $6.670 billion -16.7%
Wearables, Home and Accessories $7.913 billion $8.757 billion -9.6%
Services $23.867 billion $20.907 billion +14.2%

Apple reported diluted earnings per share of $1.53, which it described as a March-quarter record. Services revenue also reached an all-time quarterly record. Apple said its installed base of active devices reached a new high.

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The detailed figures are in Apple’s consolidated financial statements.

Why did iPhone revenue fall?

The decline was partly measured against an unusually strong year-earlier comparison. Apple CEO Tim Cook said the prior-year March quarter benefited from replenished iPhone channel inventory and pent-up demand after COVID-related supply disruptions had affected the iPhone 14 Pro and Pro Max.

Greater China was another important weakness. Revenue from the region fell from $17.812 billion to $16.372 billion, an approximately 8.1% decline. That does not prove China accounted for all of the worldwide iPhone decline, but it highlights a significant regional risk for Apple.

Contemporary analysts and media reports also pointed to possible competitive pressure in China, the absence of major AI features on current iPhones, and consumers potentially delaying upgrades ahead of future product announcements. Those were interpretations, not definitive causes established by Apple.

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The correct description, therefore, is that iPhone revenue fell about 10.5%. Apple’s total company revenue fell about 4.3%, not 10%.

How services softened the hardware decline

Services revenue increased approximately 14.2% to $23.867 billion. That category includes businesses such as the App Store, subscriptions, advertising, cloud services, and payments-related offerings.

Services represented roughly 26% of Apple’s quarterly revenue, compared with approximately 51% for the iPhone. In other words, services were growing quickly and helped offset weaker hardware sales, but they had not replaced the iPhone as Apple’s primary revenue engine.

Mac revenue also rose, and Apple maintained substantial profitability despite lower overall sales. This is why investors could view the quarter as resilient rather than uniformly poor.

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What the $110 billion buyback actually meant

Apple authorized up to $110 billion in additional share repurchases and raised its quarterly dividend to $0.25 per share. The authorization was the largest in Apple’s history at that time.

However, three figures must be kept separate:

  • $110 billion: the new maximum authorization announced on May 2, 2024.
  • $23.5 billion: the amount Apple actually spent repurchasing shares during fiscal Q2.
  • $30.1 billion: the amount remaining under the previous authorization as of March 30, 2024.

Apple’s Form 10-Q stated that its repurchase programs did not obligate the company to purchase a minimum number of shares. Purchases could occur through open-market transactions, privately negotiated deals, or Rule 10b5-1 trading plans.

Why a buyback can lift earnings per share

When a company repurchases and retires shares, the number of shares outstanding declines. If net income remains unchanged, dividing that income across fewer shares produces higher earnings per share. Buybacks can also return excess cash to shareholders and signal that management believes the stock is attractive.

But a buyback does not automatically improve the underlying business. It can raise per-share figures while revenue or total net income stagnates. The value created depends on the price Apple pays, how many shares are ultimately retired, and whether the company’s future profits grow.

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Why did Apple’s stock jump?

The more than 6% after-hours rise reported in contemporary coverage reflected the market’s initial interpretation of the report. It was not proof that iPhone demand had recovered, and after-hours prices can be volatile.

Investors appeared to focus on several factors:

  • The results were better than some of the market’s fears and expectations.
  • Services growth demonstrated the strength of Apple’s installed base and recurring businesses.
  • EPS remained strong despite lower total revenue.
  • The $110 billion authorization represented substantial potential capital return.
  • The difficult iPhone comparison may have made the decline look worse than an underlying trend.
  • Investors anticipated future product announcements and possible AI-related improvements.

The buyback likely contributed to the positive reaction, but it is not possible to prove that it alone caused the stock move. Markets respond to the entire earnings outlook, including expectations for future growth.

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The bullish, bearish and neutral readings

Bullish interpretation

Apple’s services business is becoming a larger and more recurring source of revenue. Its large installed base gives the company opportunities to sell subscriptions and future devices, while its cash generation allows substantial dividends and buybacks. The iPhone weakness could prove temporary if new products stimulate upgrades.

Bearish interpretation

The iPhone remains Apple’s largest product category, so a 10.5% revenue decline is material. Greater China weakness could reflect structural competitive pressure rather than only a difficult comparison. Buybacks can support EPS and the share price without solving weak product demand, while services face regulatory, pricing and maturity risks.

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Neutral interpretation

Apple delivered a financially resilient but operationally mixed quarter. The stock rally reflected expectations, capital allocation and confidence in future products as much as current hardware performance. The important follow-up questions were whether iPhone revenue would recover and whether China would stabilize.

Bottom line

Apple’s stock jumped because investors saw a cash-rich company that remained profitable, grew services, delivered strong per-share results and announced a major capital-return program. The market judged those positives against expectations and the unusually difficult comparison—not simply against the falling iPhone number.

The rally did not mean Apple’s core hardware problem had disappeared. The iPhone still generated about half of quarterly revenue, and the China decline remained a serious unresolved risk. The $110 billion buyback could support shareholder returns and EPS, but it could not substitute for renewed product demand.

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