Short answer: the evidence does not show Nokia, Ericsson and Huawei declining in step. The telecom-equipment market has cooled since the first major 5G rollout, but influence now depends on which network segment and country you mean. Omdia’s 2024 ranking puts Huawei first in global radio access network (RAN) revenue, while its 4G/5G core ranking puts Ericsson first. Nokia is reshaping its business as mobile-network spending weakens and demand grows in other infrastructure areas.
This is a story about a fragmented market, not three companies disappearing. For investors, the distinction matters: a weak equipment cycle, a loss of market share and a change in a company’s long-term prospects are different things.
What does “market dominance” mean in telecom?
Telecom equipment is not one unified market. Vendors sell into several distinct layers, and the leader in one is not automatically the leader in another:
- RAN: radios, base stations and software connecting mobile devices to the network.
- Core networks: systems that manage subscribers, data traffic, voice, policy and network control.
- Transport and routing: optical and IP equipment carrying traffic between radio sites, data centers and the wider network.
- Fixed broadband: equipment for fiber and other fixed-access networks.
- Enterprise and private wireless: networks for sites such as factories, ports, utilities and campuses.
Nokia’s former prominence in consumer handsets is a separate story. Its loss of handset leadership after the smartphone transition does not, by itself, establish that its present network-equipment business is losing share. Market rankings also vary with the analyst’s definition, geography, period and measure—such as vendor revenue or equipment shipments—so a RAN ranking should not be treated as a ranking of all telecom infrastructure.
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Why the equipment market has weakened
The slowdown following the initial 5G buildout has put pressure on suppliers, but falling sales in a down cycle do not necessarily mean one vendor has displaced another. Operators have slowed or deferred investment as the first wave of deployments matures, financing costs rise, and carriers seek better returns from networks already built. Inventory accumulated after procurement surges has also weighed on orders. Rapid deployments in markets such as India made the comparison period especially challenging once that spending eased.
Nokia said the market it tracks declined 2% in 2025 while its full-year sales grew 6%. That is Nokia’s own market comparison, not an independent measure of every telecom-equipment category, and one year of growth does not prove a durable turnaround. The distinction is important: market demand, vendor share and a company’s financial results answer different questions. Nokia’s Q4 and full-year 2025 report
Huawei: leading in RAN, but not everywhere
Omdia’s 2024 global RAN ranking, published through Ericsson, places Huawei first, followed by Ericsson and Nokia. That is a ranking of RAN revenue, not the whole telecom-equipment business. It also shows why describing Huawei as finished because of restrictions in some Western countries would be misleading. China’s large domestic market and Huawei’s continuing presence in countries where its equipment is permitted sustain substantial scale. Omdia’s 2024 RAN market landscape
At the same time, Huawei’s access is geographically constrained. The United States and several allied markets have restricted or excluded the company from parts of network procurement on security and supply-chain grounds. Those policy decisions reduce its addressable market in the affected countries; they do not amount to a worldwide ban. Other governments and operators make their own decisions, weighing political and regulatory risk alongside price, integration, financing, installed equipment and local support. A vendor can therefore lead a global revenue ranking while being unavailable to buyers in strategically important markets.
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Huawei’s position also varies by network layer. The 2024 RAN ranking cannot establish its standing in optical transport, enterprise networking or core networks. In Omdia’s Q4 2025 report, Huawei was among the five leading core-market vendors alongside Ericsson, Nokia, ZTE and Cisco, while spending on 5G packet core rose 83% year over year in that quarter. The spending figure refers to communications service providers’ 5G packet-core investment, not total 5G infrastructure spending; it should not be read as an annual growth rate or a vendor market-share figure. Omdia’s Q4 2025 5G-core report
Ericsson: strong positions, difficult economics
Ericsson’s position is better described as leadership under pressure than as a straightforward decline. Omdia’s 2024 4G/5G core-network ranking puts Ericsson first; Huawei, Nokia, ZTE and other vendors follow. That result concerns core networks, not RAN. Ericsson remains one of the leading RAN suppliers too, but the two rankings measure different markets. Omdia’s 2024 core-vendor market landscape
The business challenge is converting technical and customer strength into sustainable growth and margins in a mature, cyclical market. When carriers delay investment, equipment suppliers feel it; large customer decisions can also have an outsized effect. Ericsson is positioning AI, network modernization, industrial applications and future network technologies as growth opportunities in its annual-report materials. Those are strategic priorities, not evidence that new revenue has already replaced weaker RAN demand. Ericsson annual reports
Nokia: a financial reset and a broader portfolio
Nokia’s current position should be judged as a network-equipment business, not through its former handset dominance. Its Mobile Networks operation has faced pressure during the post-5G spending slowdown, while other parts of Nokia sell optical networking, IP routing, fixed-access equipment and related infrastructure. The company is trying to reduce its dependence on mobile-network investment by leaning further into network infrastructure, cloud and data-center networking, enterprise, AI-related infrastructure and defense.
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Its reported financial figures show both growth and strain. Nokia’s consolidated net sales were €19.889 billion in 2025, versus €19.220 billion in 2024, while reported operating profit fell to €885 million from €1.970 billion. These are reported figures; they should not be conflated with Nokia’s separately presented comparable operating-profit measure. Sales growth in a year when Nokia says its market contracted is positive, but the drop in reported operating profit shows why sales alone do not settle whether the business is recovering. Nokia’s 2025 SEC-filed financial exhibit
Nokia’s strategic shift is a management plan, not a completed transformation. It announced a target of €2.7 billion to €3.2 billion in comparable operating profit by 2028 and said it would determine the future direction of certain business units during 2026. Its acquisition of Infinera is intended to strengthen its optical-networking exposure. Whether diversification improves resilience depends on execution: a wider portfolio can reach new customers, but it does not automatically fix mobile-network economics or guarantee growth in AI and cloud infrastructure. Nokia’s strategy and long-term targets
The company reported that AI and cloud customers accounted for 6% of group net sales and 14% of Network Infrastructure in Q3 2025. Those are quarterly company-reported figures, not full-year results, and they do not establish the eventual profitability of those activities. Nokia’s Q3 2025 interim report
How the competitive map varies by region
A single global ranking conceals the effect of national policy and the installed base. Telecom operators cannot swap suppliers as easily as consumers replace phones: integration, interoperability, maintenance, approvals and service continuity make changes costly and slow.
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- China: Huawei and ZTE benefit from domestic scale and a supportive local ecosystem. Nokia and Ericsson have faced sharply reduced access, so rankings that include China can give Huawei a different position from those excluding it.
- North America: Huawei is largely excluded from mainstream carrier infrastructure procurement. Ericsson, Nokia, Samsung and specialists such as Cisco and Ciena compete across different network layers, rather than as interchangeable end-to-end suppliers.
- Europe: Operators have historically used a mix of vendors. Security reviews and procurement restrictions can change future allocations, but they do not instantly replace installed equipment or guarantee that European suppliers win the resulting business.
- India and other fast-growing markets: large deployment waves can temporarily lift supplier revenue, then make subsequent periods look weak. Operators may prioritize low cost and fast rollout, putting pressure on margins even where the market remains open to multiple suppliers.
What could change the old vendor model?
Open RAN and virtualization
Open RAN seeks to separate network components and software that were traditionally bought as integrated systems. Virtualized functions can also run on more general-purpose computing infrastructure. These approaches could reduce lock-in and create opportunities for new suppliers, but they have not already displaced incumbent vendors at scale. Operators still have to weigh integration complexity, performance, support and total cost.
Cloud-native core and programmable networks
Core-network functions increasingly resemble software workloads, creating competition and partnerships involving cloud platforms and systems integrators. Network APIs and automation may let operators expose network capabilities to developers and businesses. The commercial question is whether those services generate meaningful revenue—not simply whether the technology is available.
Optical, data-center and AI infrastructure
Cloud and AI investment creates demand for high-capacity transport, optical links and data-center networking beyond conventional radio access. This helps explain Nokia’s emphasis on optical and IP networking, and why vendors increasingly discuss AI-era networks. Such opportunities may diversify suppliers, but they are not yet a proven substitute for carrier RAN sales.
Private wireless and 6G
Private 5G can serve industrial sites and other organizations with specific coverage or control needs. It is strategically relevant, but much smaller than public carrier RAN and not an immediate replacement for it. Likewise, 6G is a longer-term research and standards opportunity; it is not a near-term commercial fix for weak 5G spending.
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Which challengers matter—and where?
The incumbent trio does not face the same competitors in every category. ZTE is a significant telecom-equipment supplier, especially in China and markets where its products are permitted. Samsung Networks competes in RAN, including virtualized and Open RAN offerings. Cisco is relevant to routing, switching, security and data-center networking, while Ciena focuses on optical transport and related infrastructure. These specialists can take business in particular layers without replacing a full RAN-and-core portfolio.
Cloud providers, systems integrators and Open RAN specialists may also influence how networks are built and operated. Their role is not necessarily to replace the equipment makers outright; they may supply platforms, software or integration around incumbent hardware. The key comparison for operators is not simply a vendor’s technology, but total cost of ownership, energy use, compatibility with existing equipment, software support, financing, local engineering and regulatory acceptability.
How to judge whether a vendor is really declining
“Decline” needs a stated measure. A supplier can lose ground in one dimension while remaining influential—or gaining—in another.
- Revenue: Is the company selling less, or is the whole market shrinking?
- Market share: Is it losing share in a clearly defined segment, geography and period?
- Profitability: Are margins weakening even if sales hold up?
- Customers and access: Has it lost major contracts or been excluded from a market by policy?
- Strategic position: Is it building credible businesses in the network layers where future spending may occur?
On those measures, Huawei is geographically constrained but remains a RAN leader in the cited global ranking; Ericsson retains a leading cited core position but is exposed to the economics of cyclical carrier spending; Nokia is under pressure in mobile networks while trying to build a broader infrastructure business. The old hierarchy has not vanished. It is splitting along geographic, technological and financial lines.
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