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Does NASA Save Money by Hiring Contractors to Build Spacecraft? What a 2025 Study Found

A NASA-listed study reports that contractors’ spacecraft cost less on some lower-risk science missions, but not across all mission classes or total project costs.
From TheFinanceBase Team4 min to read
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Sometimes—but the available findings do not support a blanket claim that contractors always save NASA money. A NASA Technical Reports Server abstract for a 2025 study says industry-built spacecraft generally cost less on lower-risk Class C and D science missions. It reports no significant effect from developer type on higher-risk Class A/B missions or on total project cost. The record does not provide a universal savings percentage, and the study examines traditional procurement—not NASA’s Commercial Crew service-purchase model.

What did the study find?

Moon J. Kim and Tupper Hyde’s paper, In and Out: A Comparative Analysis of NASA-Built and Industry-Built Spacecraft Costs, uses multivariable regression to examine developer type and spacecraft cost under traditional procurement. NASA’s Technical Reports Server abstract reports three main findings:

  • Industry-built spacecraft were generally less costly for lower-risk Class C and D projects.
  • For higher-risk Class A and B projects, developer type had no statistically significant effect on cost.
  • Developer type also had no significant effect on total project cost regardless of risk class.

The abstract identifies spacecraft mass as the primary cost driver in its analysis. Mission risk classification and deep-space operation also influenced cost. Those findings make the result more specific than a simple NASA-versus-contractor verdict: the reported cost relationship varies by risk category, and the kind of cost being measured matters. NASA Technical Reports Server record and abstract

What the result does—and does not—say about savings

The abstract supports a qualified association between industry development and lower spacecraft costs for Class C and D missions. It does not establish that outsourcing reliably saves money across all spacecraft projects, nor does it report a single percentage that taxpayers can expect NASA to save by hiring contractors.

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It also distinguishes spacecraft cost from total project cost. A lower cost for one part of a mission does not necessarily mean a lower overall project bill; the abstract reports no significant developer-type effect on total project cost. The available record does not show the sample definition, cost-measure details, regression coefficients, confidence intervals, or model diagnostics, so it is not enough to assess the size or robustness of the estimated differences or make a stronger causal claim.

The NTRS record labels the document “Preprint (Draft being sent to journal)” and lists June 30, 2025 as its publication date. It also lists the Journal of Spacecraft and Rockets and the American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics. That record alone does not establish whether a later peer-reviewed version appeared. NASA Technical Reports Server record

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Which NASA procurement arrangement does it examine?

Traditional procurement for science missions

The study’s stated scope is traditional procurement for science missions without commercial value, comparing NASA in-house and industry spacecraft development. Its findings should be read within that context. NASA Technical Reports Server abstract

Commercial Crew is a different model

NASA’s Commercial Crew Program is not the same comparison. Under that approach, companies design, own, and operate their systems; NASA sets requirements, certifies the systems, and buys transportation services. NASA and the companies both invested in development. That is a service-purchase model, not simply a test of whether NASA or a contractor builds a spacecraft under traditional procurement. NASA Commercial Crew Program overview NASA Commercial Crew Program essentials

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For context—not as evidence for the 2025 study’s result—the NASA Office of Inspector General reported in 2026 that original fixed-price Commercial Crew awards in 2014 were $4.2 billion to Boeing and $2.6 billion to SpaceX, while later contract value exceeded $8 billion. The OIG noted that the later figure excluded several billion dollars in additional NASA and company resources. These figures have different accounting scopes and should not be treated as an all-in program cost or a direct comparison of spacecraft development costs. NASA Office of Inspector General, 2026 Commercial Crew update

Why other NASA cost comparisons do not settle this question

Separate oversight reports describe cost comparisons in other services, but those figures answer different questions from the spacecraft-development regression:

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These examples show why “NASA saves money by hiring companies” needs a defined service, contract period, and accounting scope. They cannot be added together or used as a general contractor savings rate.

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How to interpret the headline without overreading it

The study’s abstract offers a conditional result, not a verdict that one developer type is universally cheaper. For the missions it describes, risk class and the distinction between spacecraft cost and total project cost change the answer; mass and deep-space operation are also relevant cost factors. Commercial Crew’s service contracts belong in a separate comparison.

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In personal-finance terms, the key lesson is about reading a cost claim carefully: ask what was counted, which projects were compared, and whether a finding concerns one component or the full bill. Here, the public abstract does not supply enough detail to calculate a taxpayer-wide savings figure.

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