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GST 2.0, One Year On: Where India’s Tax Collections Come From—and What the Data Shows

October 2025 net GST collection rose 4% year over year, but the first full-month comparison cannot explain what caused the increase or establish a complete one-year revenue split.
From TheFinanceBase Team4 min to read
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India’s GST collections did not fall in the first full month after most new rates took effect: net GST collection was ₹1,61,895 crore in October 2025, up 4% year over year, according to a 2026 Ministry of Finance parliamentary answer. But that early comparison does not show that rate cuts caused revenue to rise, or establish a full one-year breakdown of where the money came from.

Did GST collections fall after the rate cuts?

No in the first full-month comparison available. Most revised GST rates took effect on 22 September 2025, making October the first complete month under the new rates. The Ministry of Finance’s 2026 parliamentary answer reports the following for October:

Measure October 2025 Comparison or context
Gross collection under CGST, SGST and IGST ₹1,88,125 crore October 2025; Ministry of Finance, 2026 parliamentary answer
Refunds ₹26,230 crore October 2025; Ministry of Finance, 2026 parliamentary answer
Net collection ₹1,61,895 crore October 2025, compared with ₹1,55,986 crore in October 2024; reported year-over-year growth of 4%

Gross collection is the amount collected before refunds; net collection subtracts refunds. The figures therefore describe different points in the flow of tax receipts. The 4% figure refers to net October collections, not gross receipts, and should not be compared as though it were the same measure as other growth rates.

A separate two-month gross figure

A separate Ministry of Finance parliamentary answer in December 2025 reported that gross GST collections excluding compensation cess grew 4.2% year over year across October–November 2025. That is a two-month gross comparison with an explicit exclusion; it is not the October net growth rate and does not isolate the effect of the rate changes.

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What changed in the GST rate structure?

The GST Council recommended rate rationalisation at its 56th meeting on 3 September 2025. Most revised rates took effect on 22 September 2025. Specified tobacco products were an exception: their existing GST and compensation-cess rates continued until a later date to be notified after compensation-cess loan and interest liabilities were discharged.

The Economic Survey 2025–26 describes the broad revised structure as a 5% merit rate, an 18% standard rate and a 40% special de-merit rate for selected goods and services. That summary does not replace the product-specific notifications: the classification and applicable rate for a particular item depend on the relevant notification. The Survey also says that, for goods covered by the 40% treatment, it includes the earlier compensation-cess rate; the 40% rate does not by itself mean the overall burden rose in those cases.

Where is India’s GST revenue coming from?

The question has two distinct answers: which tax heads record the receipts, and what economic conditions influence how much is collected. The available figures establish an early overall result, but do not provide a complete, reconciled component-by-component account for the twelve months after the reset.

The accounting heads

GST receipts are distributed across central and state accounting, rather than appearing as one undifferentiated central revenue stream. The central indirect-tax presentation separates non-GST heads—customs duty, central excise and service-tax arrears—from GST heads including net CGST, residual IGST, compensation cess and total GST. State GST and the settlement of integrated GST also matter to the wider Union–state picture.

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October’s reported gross figure covers CGST, SGST and IGST, with refunds shown separately. It should not be treated as a complete split among those heads or as a full account including every cess and settlement. The Department of Revenue’s accessible table has partial-quarter data and a Q2 presentation that is difficult to reconcile, so it does not support reliable revenue shares on its own. A clean component-level account requires the GST Council’s monthly data and underlying official releases.

The economic drivers

Collections can change with taxable spending and trade, prices, the number of registered taxpayers, reporting and compliance, the mix of goods and services being purchased, tax rates, and the timing of refunds. These influences can move in different directions at once. A rupee-value increase is nominal growth; without separate price and volume analysis, it is not evidence of an equivalent rise in real consumption.

The Economic Survey says lower rates are expected to support demand and price competitiveness, with higher consumption volumes and compliance potentially offsetting some revenue effects of lower rates. Those are government expectations, not a measured explanation of October’s result. The Ministry of Finance likewise described stronger consumption demand as expected to have a positive impact on GST revenue; this is a forecast, not a finding about what drove realised collections.

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How much GST did India collect after GST 2.0?

The Press Information Bureau reported about ₹22.27 lakh crore in gross GST collections for FY 2025–26, compared with about ₹13.76 lakh crore in FY 2021–22. The FY 2025–26 total covers April 2025 to March 2026: only part of that fiscal year fell after the new rates took effect on 22 September 2025. It combines the effects of economic activity, prices, compliance, tax rates and other changes, so it cannot be read as revenue raised by the reset.

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The same 2026 PIB summary reported 1.65 crore registered GST taxpayers as of May 2026, up from 66.5 lakh in 2017. The larger registered base is relevant context for the reach of the tax system, but those counts do not establish how much additional revenue came from registration or compliance.

Can the first year’s revenue mix be determined?

Not from the cited figures. A complete twelve-month assessment after the 22 September 2025 change would require a consistent monthly series covering the post-reset period, with gross and net receipts, refunds, CGST, SGST, IGST settlements and compensation cess reconciled on comparable terms. The figures above establish the October comparison and provide a broader fiscal-year total, but they do not supply that full series. Nor do they separate the effects of rate changes from consumption, prices, compliance, product mix or refund timing.

Refund timing matters in particular because refunds reduce the difference between gross and net receipts, while input tax credit, classification and processing can affect when and where receipts appear. In a 2025 answer, the government described a provisional 90% risk-based refund process for inverted-duty claims, effective from 1 October 2025 pending amendments. That process is relevant to interpreting receipts, but the available figures do not quantify its effect on the October total.

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