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Re:

India’s Bank Credit in March 2021: Industry Edged Up as Services Slowed

EY’s May 2021 report said Indian industrial credit grew 0.4% in March 2021, while services-credit growth slowed and overall bank-credit growth moderated.
From TheFinanceBase Team2 min to read
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In India, bank credit to industry grew 0.4% in March 2021, while growth in credit to services slowed sharply, according to figures published by EY in May 2021 and attributed to the Reserve Bank of India (RBI). The title’s wording appears to refer to those figures, although the original source is not confirmed. The contrast describes changes in growth, not which sector had more outstanding credit.

What changed in March 2021?

EY reported that outstanding credit to industry grew 0.4% in March 2021, its first positive growth since October 2020. The increase was marginal: it marked a return to growth, not a large expansion.

At the same time, the report said growth in services credit fell sharply. It did not provide an exact March services-credit growth rate in the available account, so a precise numerical comparison with industry cannot be made here.

How did the sector movements affect overall credit?

Overall bank-credit growth moderated to 5.6% in March 2021 from 6.6% in February. Non-food credit growth, a measure that excludes lending for food procurement, slowed to 4.9% from 6.5% over the same months. EY attributed the moderation in overall credit growth to the sharp fall in services-credit growth.

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These figures describe year-on-year growth rates reported for the respective months. The February-to-March comparison shows slower growth, not necessarily a month-to-month fall in the amount of credit outstanding.

What the figures do—and do not—show

  • Industry: A 0.4% growth rate signals a slight recovery in the reported annual growth measure after contractions through October 2020.
  • Services: Growth decelerated, but the exact March rate is not stated in the available account.
  • Relative sector size: The figures do not establish that industry had more outstanding credit than services, or that industrial lending grew faster than services lending in March.
  • Aggregate trend: The slowdown in services was identified as a factor in weaker overall bank-credit growth; the sector figures alone do not establish every cause behind the change.

How broad was the sectoral data?

The RBI sectoral-deployment data described by EY covered 33 scheduled commercial banks, representing about 90% of total non-food credit deployed by scheduled commercial banks. The sectoral picture therefore reflects broad coverage, but it is based on a subset of banks rather than every scheduled commercial bank.

The figures are published in EY’s May 2021 Economy Watch and are attributed there to the RBI Database on Indian Economy. The 0.4% industrial-credit figure and aggregate growth rates should be read in that historical context, not as current credit conditions.

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