Through August 2026, tractor and combine sales are still down year over year in both the United States and Canada, USDA’s latest farm-income forecast shows weaker inflation-adjusted income for 2026, and the used-equipment picture splits between tractors and combines. None of that establishes a year-end price drop or a recovery. For most operations, the buy-now-or-wait decision depends on the farm’s own equipment needs and finances, not on the national sales trend.
What the latest sales numbers show
The most recent sales figures come from the Association of Equipment Manufacturers (AEM), in a release published September 11, 2026. Each figure compares August 2026 with August 2025. These are single-month comparisons, not year-to-date totals, and they do not predict December sales.
| Market (August 2026 vs. August 2025) | Agricultural tractors | Combines |
|---|---|---|
| United States | Down 8% | Down 4% |
| Canada | Down 10.9% | Down 42.6% |
The two countries should not be averaged together. Canada’s combine decline is far steeper than the U.S. figure for the same month, and a single month can swing on delivery timing. Use the table as a snapshot of direction, not a measure of the full year.
AEM’s Senior Vice President Curt Blades said the market “continues to reflect the challenging environment facing farmers today,” and pointed to unresolved trade questions adding uncertainty as producers prepare for harvest. That is an industry spokesperson’s characterization, not an independent forecast.
#1 Best Overall
- Imaginative Play: Tractor toy sets can encourage imaginative play, allowing children to create their own farming scenarios, build and repair their tractors, or load and transport farm goods. They can also help children learn about farm life and how different farm vehicles work.
- Role-Playing: Tractor toy sets can provide opportunities for role-playing, as children can pretend to be farmers, drivers, or other characters involved in farm work. This can help them develop social skills and creativity.
- Value Set: The set includes 1 tractor vehicles,1 tractor trailer ,1 tipping trailer,1fertilizer spreader,1 gripper Round Bale,1 frontloade,2 round bales,4 bales of straw,3 log,1 milk cow,These push and go vehicles are friction powered and are ready to play straight out of the box. NO BATTERIES NEEDED!
- Physical Manipulation: Tractor toy sets often come with small parts, such as wheels, attachments, and accessories, that children can manipulate and attach to the tractor, promoting fine motor skills and hand-eye coordination.
- Portable:Portable toys can provide children with a convenient and fun way to play while traveling or outside of the home.
What USDA’s farm-income forecast adds
The USDA Economic Research Service (ERS) updated its farm-income forecast on September 3, 2026. Its figures are forecasts and can be revised. The nominal change is the dollar change before inflation; the inflation-adjusted change strips inflation out. Both matter for equipment budgets, and they often point in different directions.
Net farm income and net cash farm income
| ERS measure, calendar year 2026 | Forecast | Change from 2025, nominal | Change from 2025, after inflation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net farm income | $158.4 billion | Down $4.3 billion (2.6%) | Down $9.1 billion (5.5%) |
| Net cash farm income | $176.4 billion | Up $0.7 billion (0.4%) | Down $4.6 billion (2.5%) |
The two measures differ in what they count. Net cash farm income includes cash receipts, farm-related income such as federal payments, and cash expenses. Net farm income adds noncash items such as inventory changes and economic depreciation. A farm’s cash position can therefore look better than the headline net farm income figure suggests, or the reverse.
Rank #2
- 🚜 A COMPLETE FARM SET IN ONE BOX — Transform your home or playroom into a mini farm with this realistic 1:24 scale RC tractor set. Kids drive with the remote, then scoop, lift, and dump with the manual front loader — experiencing how real farm work gets done through hands-on, screen-free play. (Overall size: 19" L × 6.1" W × 4.7" H)
- 🔋 100-MINUTE PLAYTIME WITH DUAL BATTERIES — Two long-lasting rechargeable batteries deliver up to 100 minutes of play: one drives while the other charges, so the fun never stops. The alloy hood, LED lights, and 8 rubber tires add a rugged, realistic look(Press the light button. The light remains on when driving)
- 🌾 GROW YOUR LITTLE FARMERS MIND WITH TOYS THAT TEACH — Kids move hay, transport supplies, and care for the cow and sheep while creating their own farm stories. This screen-free, open-ended play builds curiosity, problem-solving skills, and storytelling — keeping young farmers engaged for hours
- 📦 WHAT YOU GET — A realistic RC tractor, trailer, manual front loader, farm animals, hay bales, and a helpful user guide — everything needed for mini farm adventures right out of the box. Backed by our worry-free 12-month warranty and friendly customer service
- 🎁 HOLIDAY & BIRTHDAY GIFT OPTION — Give little farm lovers the joy of driving their very own tractor! Perfect for birthdays, Christmas, holidays, or a special surprise — a memorable gift for boys and girls ages 3+ who dream of farm adventures
Average income for qualifying farm businesses
For farm businesses that qualify under ERS’s definitions, average net cash farm income is forecast to rise 7.1% to $121,700 per farm in nominal dollars. Six of nine ERS farm resource regions are forecast to see an increase. Crop-specialized businesses other than specialty crop farms are generally forecast higher, while every animal and animal-product specialization is forecast lower. This is an average across a defined group, so an individual operation may land well above or below it.
Farm-sector debt and solvency
ERS forecasts farm-sector debt to rise 4.6% in nominal terms to $605.1 billion in 2026. The debt-to-asset ratio is forecast at 13.54%, compared with 13.34% in 2025, and ERS says solvency is expected to worsen as debt grows faster than assets or equity. These are sector-level, market-value estimates. They are not a substitute for an individual farm’s balance sheet, which is typically kept on a historical-cost basis.
Free tools Windows power users keep installed
One-click scans. No signup required.
Rank #3
- 🎅 FARM PLAYSET: Playset with 3 Transport Farm Tractor, 14 farm figurines, 14 fence, 2 bales of hay, 2 tree, 2 stones, 1 tree trunk and 1 storage case, your children can spend long hours exploring and building the farm animals world.
- 💗 SAFE & REALISTIC FARM FIGURES: 14 Pcs unique farm figurines with vibrant colors, 7pcs 4-5 inch big farm figures and 7pcs 2-2.5 inch mini farm figures, which are made of high quality durable ABS materials which is Eco-Friendly, plus hand-painted make them more realistic. KIMICARE's #1 priority is child safety.
- 😍 EASY STORAGE: It is enough for 2 to 3 players to spend the quality time together. When playtime is over, simply store the plastic farm toys in the bucket with carrying handle. Perfect for travel, education, or speech therapy - light weight and easy to carry along!
- 💯 LEARNING EDUCATIONAL TOY: They're also the great pretend play props, enhancing animals vocabulary, language skills, creative thinking and active cognitive learning through imaginative play. Realistic detailed farm animals are easy for toddler to distinguish, it's the good learning toys. Also this farm toys can also make away your kids from electronics which can protect their eyesight.
- 🎁 GREAT GIFT SET & SATISFACTION: Perfect gift for Holidays, Birthday, Children's Day, Christmas, Halloween, Thanksgiving, New Year. This farm playset adds a charming rural touch to the festivities, providing a cozy and heartwarming play experience.
Are tractor prices coming down?
The most recent used-market data cited here is from December 2025. The University of Illinois farmdoc daily analysis, published in February 2026, summarized Sandhills Global data. These are lagged observations, not October 2026 quotes, so they show where the market was at the end of 2025 rather than where it sits today.
| Measure, year over year, December 2025 | Used tractors | Used combines |
|---|---|---|
| Inventory | Down 15.5% | Down 9.5% |
| Asking prices | Down 5.85% | Down 0.37% |
| Auction values | Down 2.54% (despite a 2.39% monthly increase) | Up 7.47% |
Used tractors were weaker on all three measures, while used combines held up on auction values. The two categories do not move in lockstep, so a tractor-price argument should not be carried over to combines. The data does not show whether tractor prices have since fallen further or recovered, and nothing here supports a call on where they go by year-end.
Rank #4
- Value Remote Control Tractor Set: This remote control tractor toy set is equipped with everything your little one needs for exploration. It includes a tractor with a front loader, a detachable dump trailer, realistic farm accessories (including 6 animals, square and round hay bales), an easy-to-operate 2.4GHz remote control, and a 500mAh rechargeable battery (for extended playtime). With rich features and simple operation, it’s time for your little farmer to embark on an exciting farm adventure!
- Easy to Control with Six Directions - This remote control car has a simple design and is very suitable for children. The high-quality 2.4GHz remote allows the tractor to move in six directions and perform 360° spins effortlessly. It also features a one-button demonstration function, so children can visually see how the tractor switches directions. Additionally, the tractor is equipped with stunning lights that remain on while it is moving, immersing children in a true farming experience.
- Imaginative Play Experience: This uniquely designed remote control tractor is highly maneuverable, with a movable front loader and detachable trailer, simulating real-life loading and unloading operations just like a real tractor! Whether moving hay or herding animals, every manual exploration will inspire children's imagination, coordination, and independent play skills. It provides hours of role-playing and storytelling fun, making it perfect for sibling play or parent-child interaction, creating beautiful memories.
- High-Quality Remote Control Tractor Toy: Made from premium ABS material and environmentally friendly paint, this tractor toy is sturdy, lightweight, non-toxic, and impact-resistant, making it a safe and reliable toy for your child. It features four glow-in-the-dark rubber tires with excellent traction, allowing it to easily drive on both indoor floors and outdoor grass. Come and experience this remote control tractor, which looks just like a monster truck in action!
- Perfect Gifts for Farm Enthusiasts - Looking for the ideal toys gift for young kid farm lovers? This tractor toys is a great gifts that inspires joy and creativity, bringing farm-themed happy hours, perfect toys for 3,4,5,6,7 year old boys & girls, and a great gifts for Birthdays, Children's Day, and Christmas!
Financing: what the October 2026 FSA rates mean
The USDA Farm Service Agency (FSA) lists two loan rates for October 2026:
- Direct operating loans: 5.375%
- Direct farm-ownership loans: 6.250%
These are specific FSA program rates for the month, not a market-wide equipment-finance rate. FSA states that eligible producers may use its loans to purchase equipment. Eligibility is not guaranteed by the rate table, and rates reset over time, so confirm the current rate and your eligibility with your local FSA office before building a budget around them.
Do these 3 things before closing this tab:
1Repair Windows errors before they cause bigger problems2Scan for outdated or missing drivers - takes under a minute3Clear out junk files and repair common Windows errorsBest Value
- WORKING PARTS: Each vehicle features detailed John Deere styling and real rolling wheels for realistic farm play.
- VARIETY: Five-pack includes a wagon, combine harvester, modern tractor, gator, and vintage tractor. Great for solo or group play!
- SOFT SUPER GRIP TIRES: Treaded tires spin smoothly, helping kids drive, tow, and harvest with ease during imaginative farm adventures.
- IMAGINATIVE PLAY: Perfectly sized for little hands, these 5-inch vehicles encourage pretend play and help build fine motor skills.
- FARM FUN: Ideal for farm-themed party décor, cake toppers, or as accessories in sensory bins and small-world play.
Should you buy farm equipment now or wait?
No single machine or buy date is supported by the evidence. Sales are soft, farm income is mixed, and used values diverge, but none of that tells an individual operation whether to buy this quarter. Work through these questions in order:
- Capacity and reliability need. Is the current machine failing, limiting harvest timing, or costing more in repairs than a replacement would? If so, delay has a real cost, regardless of the market.
- Total ownership cost and cash flow. Compare purchase price, financing cost, insurance, repairs, and fuel over the years you expect to keep the machine. Test the payment against a weaker year, not only an average one.
- New versus used availability and condition. Used inventory is down on both tractors and combines in the late-2025 data, so availability of a specific model and hours may be the binding constraint. Inspect condition and service records before comparing asking prices.
- Resale and auction value risk. If you may need to sell in a few years, consider that tractor values were weaker on the cited measures and combine auction values were firmer. Build a conservative resale assumption for each category.
- Whether the financing is available to you. A low published rate only helps if your operation qualifies for that program. Get a written quote from a lender or FSA before comparing machines.
A farm with a clear need and a sound cash position can buy at any point in the cycle. A farm without one can usually wait without much cost, but waiting is only a decision if the failing or aging equipment can keep running safely through the season.
What to check before year-end
- Later AEM monthly releases. The sales figures above stop at August 2026. Check AEM’s subsequent monthly reports for U.S. and Canadian tractor and combine trends.
- USDA ERS’s next farm-income and wealth forecast, scheduled for December 2, 2026. It may revise the 2026 figures in this outlook.
- FSA’s rate schedule for the following month. The rates above apply to October 2026 only.
Source names: AEM’s September 11, 2026 release; USDA Economic Research Service farm-income forecast updated September 3, 2026; USDA Farm Service Agency October 2026 loan rates; University of Illinois farmdoc daily, February 2026, citing Sandhills Global data.
Quick Recap
Product prices and availability are accurate as of the date/time indicated and are subject to change. Any price and availability information displayed on Amazon at the time of purchase will apply.
The Tool Desk
Outbyte Driver Updater FREEScan for outdated or missing drivers - takes under a minuteDriver Scan →Outbyte PC Repair FREEClear out junk files and repair common Windows errorsFree Scan →
